NFL Week 15 Pick: New York Jets at New Orleans Saints

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, December 12, 2017 12:48 AM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 12, 2017 12:48 AM UTC

Potential trap game for the Saints in between matchups with the division rival Falcons? Maybe if this were on the road, but not at the Superdome. Survivor Pick: New Orleans.

New York Jets at New Orleans Saints (-16, 47)

The Saints are the biggest favorites on the board and there’s really no reason not for them to win by 10-14 points as they are on a few days extra rest after losing last Thursday in Atlanta, and the Jets will be without starting quarterback Josh McCown. This line already has risen two points at some books with the news that McCown is out for the season with a broken non-throwing hand and that it will be Bryce Petty under center for Gang Green. McCown suffered the injury to his non-throwing hand in the third quarter of Sunday’s 23-0 loss to the Broncos in which New York managed all of 100 yards – the team’s second-fewest ever. After the game, McCown wore a cast on his left hand and didn’t rule out finishing the season. But further tests on the hand revealed McCown needs surgery. McCown was having a career season for the Jets. So now Petty gets a few games to show whether he’s a legit starting quarterback in the league. Petty, a 2015 fourth-round pick from Baylor, outplayed Christian Hackenberg, a 2016 second-round pick from Penn State, this summer to earn the backup job. Petty also got a late-season audition in 2016, but he played poorly and then suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 16. I’m always taking more than two touchdowns in an NFL game.

  • Jets are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Free NFL Pick: Jets +16Best Line Offered: Youwager

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Despite last Thursday's loss to the Falcons, the Saints (9-4) still remain atop the NFC South standings, but they aren't alone. Carolina is also 9-4, but New Orleans won the season series and thus holds the tiebreaker. The Falcons are just a game back. The Saints also sit fourth in the NFC playoff standings behind Philadelphia (11-2), Minnesota (10-3) and Los Angeles (9-4). The likely NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year this season will be Saints tailback Alvin Kamara, and the former Tennessee star says he expects to play Sunday after leaving the Falcons game early with a concussion. The Saints offense didn’t look the same without Kamara. He has 608 rushing yards, 639 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. He is already just the third rookie in NFL history to surpass 600 rushing and receiving yards in a season with three games to go. Since Week 5, Kamara ranks second in the NFL behind only Pittsburgh's Le'Veon Bell in that span with 1,017 yards from scrimmage, and he is tied with teammate Mark Ingram for the league lead with nine touchdowns since Week 6.

  • Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Free NFL Pick: Under 47Best Line Offered: Heritage

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