NFL Week 15: Largest Totals & Picks

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, December 13, 2014 10:27 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 13, 2014 10:27 PM UTC

Week 14 was my first losing week on games with the largest totals in a while. Hit on Colts-Browns, which barely stayed 'under.' Missed on 'under' in Falcons-Packers and 'over' Patriots-Chargers. Here are the Pinnacle highest Week 15 NFL odds totals.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles (55 total at sportsbooks)
I don't think anyone can argue that the Eagles have one of the best offenses in the NFL under Chip Kelly. Philly ranks No. 5 in total offense and No. 4 in points (29.9 per game). That said, Seattle proved last week that a dominant defense can still slow any offense. The Eagles were stomped at home 24-14 in which the Eagles managed just 139 total yards -- their fewest since 2005 -- and nine first downs. How does a team with LeSean McCoy, Jeremy Maclin, Darren Sproles and two very good tight ends get that overwhelmed? Mark Sanchez barely took any shots downfield and was just 10 of 20 for 96 yards. The Eagles held the ball for just 18:04. True, the Eagles never win time of possession because they play fast, but 18:04!? The Cowboys improved to 6-0 on the road with last Thursday's 41-28 win in Chicago. The Cowboys have scored less than 30 points just once on the road and that was way back in Week 2. Dallas hosted Philadelphia on Thanksgiving when the total was 56, and the Eagles won easily 33-10. Philly rushed for 256 yards, led by McCoy's 159. Tony Romo didn't look right with his back issue and in that quick turnaround. Now he gets extra rest for the rematch. The weather looks OK, with temperatures in the low 30s for the Sunday night kickoff. No precipitation expected.

Free NFL Pick: 'Over' at 5Dimes. The 'over' is 5-0 in Dallas' past five on the road and 5-0 in Philly's past five after a loss.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons (55 total in NFL betting)
No weather concerns here with the game in the Georgia Dome. The Falcons looked like two different teams Monday night. They were down 31-7 at Green Bay at the half but were unstoppable after intermission in putting up 30 points. Still didn't matter. The star of that game was Falcons receiver Julio Jones, who had a career night with 11 catches for 259 yards and a touchdown. Green Bay literally couldn't guard the guy. However, he left late with an injury and he's questionable with a hip injury for Pittsburgh. That's obviously very important because that Atlanta offense simply isn't the same without Jones. He leads the NFL with 1,428 receiving yards, and in his last three games he has 26 receptions for 172.0 yards per game and three touchdowns. The Pittsburgh secondary has had major issues this season so Jones could have a huge game if he plays. The Steelers scored their most road points of the season last week in a 42-21 win in Cincinnati. It's a tad misleading as the Steelers only had 17 entering the fourth. Ben Roethlisberger overall has been significantly worse on the road than at home in 2014.

Free NFL Pick: 'Under.' The 'under' is 8-3 in Pittsburgh's past 11 after scoring 30 points or more in its previous game. The 'under' is 7-2 in Atlanta's past nine in the same scenario.

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New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (54 total on NFL odds)
It's a matchup of 5-8 teams but with very different agendas Monday night. The Bears are playing out the string and appear to be imploding from within. Offensive coordinator Aaron Kromer, formerly of the Saints, apologized publicly on Friday as he admitted to the team early this week he was the anonymous source who ripped Jay Cutler to the media recently. How was Kromer not fired immediately? Plus the Bears offense has massively underperformed this season, although it's head coach Marc Trestman who calls the plays. Chicago hasn't scored more than 28 points in a game yet and more than 21 just once at home. Maybe New Orleans' No. 31 total defense is just what the doctor ordered. The Saints are tied atop the NFC South with Atlanta so they have reason to care. Drew Brees, who has solid overall numbers but really isn't having a typical Brees season, has to be salivating at Chicago's No. 30 pass defense and No. 32 scoring defense. The weather looks to be a major factor. High 30s, 70 percent chance of rain.

Free NFL Pick: 'Under.' True, both defenses stink, but both offenses have been disappointing. I'm definitely influenced by that forecast as well.

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