NFL Week 14 Pick: Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, December 6, 2017 12:58 AM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017 12:58 AM UTC

Not often you see a Jaguars game getting flexed into a better television spot, but that’s the case for this important matchup against Seattle. Survivor Pick: Jacksonville.

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 39.5)

It’s actually a huge break for Seattle this game isn’t played at 10 a.m. ET Pacific time and instead 4:25 p.m. ET. Not just the early start, but it obviously should be much cooler in Jacksonville with the later kickoff. This might be a trap game for Seattle, though. It ended a two-game home losing streak and kept its NFC West hopes alive with a huge 24-10 win over the red-hot Philadelphia Eagles last Sunday night. Everyone talks Carson Wentz or Tom Brady for NFL MVP, but I believe the best player this year has been Russell Wilson. He threw for all three scores against the Eagles. When Russell Wilson and J.D. McKissic connected for a 15-yard TD pass in the fourth quarter, Wilson tied the NFL record for the most passing TDs in the fourth quarter in a single season with 15, set by Eli Manning in 2011. Jacksonville, tied for the AFC South lead with Tennessee, beat the Colts 30-10 last Sunday. Blake Bortles threw two touchdown passes, and rookie Leonard Fournette scored for the first time in six weeks. Bortles completed 26 of 35 passes for 309 yards, with TD passes to Marqise Lee and Keelan Cole. When Bortles plays like that, this team isn’t going to lose.

  • Seahawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Jaguars are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Free NFL Pick: Jaguars -2.5 (buy down from 3)Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Jacksonville ranks No. 1 in total defense, No. 1 against the pass, tops in sacks and No. 1 in scoring. It had four sacks and held Indianapolis to 290 total yards. Defensive end Calais Campbell registered a sack in the first quarter. That gave him 12.5 for the season, breaking the franchise record of 12 set by Tony Brackens in 1999. The Jags played without linebacker Telvin Smith, who missed the game with a concussion. Amazingly, Smith was the first Jaguars defensive starter to miss a game this season. Seattle, meanwhile, hasn’t been as strong defensively this season but played very well against the Eagles despite surrendering plenty of yards. Linebacker Bobby Wagner leads the NFL in solo tackles with 85, just two shy of his career high. He had 13 total tackles (nine solo and four assists) vs. Philly, which was held under 20 points for the first time all season and under 30 points for the first time in their last six games. Twenty-six of Wagner’s total 113 total tackles have come during a three-game stretch without injured defensive back stars Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor. The Seahawks now rank No. 9 in total defense with 321 yards allowed per game and are tied for seventh in points allowed with 18.5.

  • Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Under 39.5Best Line Offered: JustBet

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