NFL Week 14 Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, October 4, 2017 11:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 4, 2017 11:13 PM UTC

Potential playoff preview? Could be. The Vikings might also be worn down after playing back-to-back quality foes on the road the past two weeks. Survivor Pick: Carolina.

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (-2.5, 41)

Week 13 was a good one for the Vikings (10-2). Not only did they go to Atlanta as a slight dog and win 14-9 for an eighth straight victory, but they also took over the top spot in the NFC via a tiebreaker (winning percentage in common games) against the 10-2 Eagles, who lost in Seattle. Carolina (8-4) currently holds down the final wild-card spot – so in theory, a Panthers win in that game would send them to Minneapolis in the divisional round. Minnesota’s defense was terrific in shutting down the Falcons, holding the NFL’s best third-down offense to just 1-for-10 on conversions. Case Keenum threw two TD passes and continues to make himself some money as a potential free agent after the season. Carolina had a four-game winning streak snapped in a 31-21 loss in New Orleans. These teams played early last season in Charlotte and Minnesota won 22-10. Sam Bradford threw a touchdown pass to Kyle Rudolph, and Marcus Sherels returned a punt for a score. Cam Newton was picked off three times and sacked eight.

  • Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Free NFL Pick: Panthers -2.5Best Line Offered: Intertops

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How good was Minnesota’s defense vs. Atlanta? The Falcons were held without a touchdown for the first time since Dec. 13, 2015, when they were blanked 38-0 by Carolina. Matt Ryan's streak of 30 straight games with a touchdown pass also ended, the eighth-longest in NFL history. This despite the Vikings not getting a sack for the first time since Week 7. Xavier Rhodes completely shut down Julio Jones. The Vikings out-possessed the Falcons by eight minutes, permitted Ryan and Co. to penetrate the red zone just once and held them to 5.4 yards per play. The Panthers played the Saints without Pro Bowl tight end Greg Olsen, who was dealing with a sore foot – he missed several weeks earlier after breaking that foot. It was the second straight game that Newton failed to throw for 200 yards. The Panthers had 112 yards rushing, but 32 of them came on a fourth-quarter scramble by Newton, who had a team-high 51 yards rushing for the game. On the flip side, defensive coordinator Steve Wilks counted double-digit missed tackles against New Orleans. This should look a lot like last year’s game, only Carolina wins.

  • Under is 9-1 in Vikings last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Free NFL Pick: Under 41Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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