NFL Week 14 Pick: Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, December 5, 2017 11:56 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 5, 2017 11:56 PM UTC

Not much to see here, other than the fact that both head coaches likely will be out of work by early January. Survivor Pick: Cincinnati.

Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 38)

I’ll start by saying that if the Bears were any good at all (they aren’t), I would pick them to not just cover this spread but win outright. Why? The Bengals were in the most brutal, physical game of the year on Monday night in a choke-job loss to Pittsburgh that basically ended Cincinnati’s playoff chances. So the team will be physically and emotionally spent. The Bengals played great in the first half, leading 17-0 at one point. Andy Dalton was firing on all cylinders, hooking up with A.J. Green seven times for 77 yards and two touchdowns. But the offense came out flat after the half. Green went catchless on four targets, and Dalton managed just 61 yards passing over the final two quarters in the crushing 23-20 loss. The Bears are now 0-7 straight-up as a favorite under embattled coach John Fox after being upset 15-14 at home by a bad 49ers team last Sunday. Chicago (3-9) dropped its fifth straight, and Fox fell to 12-32 in three seasons with the Bears. Fox moved past Abe Gibron (11-30-1) for sole possession of the worst winning percentage (0.273) in franchise history -- and the Bears still have four games left to play in 2017. Fox has one fewer win than his predecessor, Marc Trestman (13-19), who lasted only two seasons in Chicago.

  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Bengals -6Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Chicago rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky continues to struggle. He threw for only 102 yards against the 49ers. The lone offensive bright spot for the Bears was rookie Tarik Cohen returning a punt 61 yards for a touchdown. That made him the first NFL rookie with rushing, receiving, passing and punt return TDs in a season since Gale Sayers in 1965. Chicago has a new kicker this week in Mike Nugent. The Bears picked up Cairo Santos last month to replace Connor Barth, but Santos tweaked a groin muscle prior to the loss to San Francisco. Nugent kicked in four games for the Dallas Cowboys this season. He made 7 of 9 field goals in those games, filling in for the injured Dan Bailey. Nugent was 23 of 29 last season in Cincinnati but was released on Dec. 13, 2016, after missing five PAT attempts in five games. The Bears also have shut down their best offensive lineman, right guard Kyle Long, for the season. The Bengals will be without safety George Iloka. He has been suspended one game for a hit on Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown in the end zone in the fourth quarter Monday when Brown was deemed to be a defenseless receiver.

  • Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 12-4 in Bengals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
Free NFL Pick: Under 38Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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