It was another wild week in the NFL and many had to wait until the closing minutes to find out whether they won or lost their NFL picks. Let’s review the week that was with a view towards cashing in Week 14.
Money Line Madness
It’s not often we talk about the money lines, regarding our NFL picks, but not every bettor restricts himself exclusively to the point spread. Yes, there are some who have so much confidence in an NFL odds underdog that they eschew the points and grab the plus money to be had on the money line. And of course, there are others who cannot stomach backing the winning team but getting nipped by laying the points, so they lay the heavy juice instead. We have a name for those who routinely bet big favorites on the money line – we call them losers. Not personally, of course, I’m sure they love puppies and call their mothers on a regular basis but when it comes to making money betting sports, they’re about as sharp as an eraser head.
Allow me to regale you with a gut-wrenching money line burial. The NFL oddsmakers installed the Atlanta Falcons as five-point home favorites. However, if you felt that was a bit too steep yet still leaned towards the favorite – DON'T BET THE GAME – but I digress. Yes, there were those who decided that a money line of somewhere about -250 was palatable enough to see the high flying Falcons soar to victory over the Kansas City Chiefs - point spread be damned. At halftime, KC was livin’ large and in charge with a 20-16 lead putting those who backed Atlanta -5 in a less than enviable position. However, a four-point deficit was certainly not an insurmountable lead in terms of the Falcons ultimately prevailing, therefore the odds of a money line win was substantially greater than a point spread cover.
Lo and behold, the sharpshooters who laid the -250 instead of the five points looked like collective geniuses as a Matt Ryan to Aldrick Robinson TD pass put Atlanta ahead 28-27 with under five minutes remaining in the game. All that was left to do was to convert the two-point conversion to put Atlanta up by three (30-27) and let the defense prevent the Chiefs from tying the game. But not so fast football fans and chalk-eaters alike, the conversion attempt was intercepted and run back into the Falcons’ end zone, giving two points and the lead back to the Chiefs. Final score: Chiefs 29 Falcons 28. Bad beats…they happen!
Swinger’s Top 10 NFL Power Rankings
1. Dallas Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-2-1 ATS)
2. New England Patriots (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS)
3. Oakland Raiders (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS)
4. Seattle Seahawks (8-3-1 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS)
6. Kansas City Chiefs (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS)
7. Denver Broncos (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)
8. Atlanta Falcons (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS)
9. Detroit Lions (8-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS)
10. Baltimore Ravens (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)