NFL Week 13 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers

Thursday, September 28, 2017 11:02 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 28, 2017 11:02 PM UTC

These two used to be NFC Central rivals. While Green Bay is indeed the name of a city, Tampa Bay actually is not. Just in case you were wondering. Survivor Pick: Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (Pick’em, TBA)

Tampa Bay saw its two-game winning streak end Sunday in a 34-20 loss in Atlanta. Ryan Fitzpatrick played decent enough again in the place of the injured Jameis Winston in throwing for 283 yards with no turnovers. Peyton Barber was a goal-line vulture from a fantasy perspective with five carries for seven yards and two touchdowns. The Tampa defense simply couldn’t stop Julio Jones all day. Two Bucs also left with concussions: running back Doug Martin and safety T.J. Ward. It sounds as if there’s a decent chance that Winston returns this week. The former Heisman winner underwent an MRI on his shoulder and did some rehab exercises and is on pace to resume throwing Wednesday. Winston has not thrown the football since aggravating the sprained AC joint in his right shoulder against the New Orleans Saints on Nov. 5. Fitzgerald is 2-1 starting in Winston’s spot this year. The Packers were two-touchdown underdogs Sunday night in Pittsburgh but played their best offensive game since Aaron Rodgers went down. Alas, it wasn’t enough in a 31-28 defeat. Although Brett Hundley's record dropped to 1-6 in games he's finished since Rodgers broke his collarbone, there was plenty to like.

  • Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Free NFL Pick: Packers at pick’emBest Line Offered: Matchbook

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Against Pittsburgh, Hundley was 17 of 26 passing for 245 yards and three touchdowns (one more than he had in his previous six games combined this season) for a career-best passer rating of 134.3. It came off a four-interception game in a shutout loss to Baltimore. Even though Rodgers went through a throwing workout before the game at Heinz Field he’s on injured reserve for at least two more weeks. The Packers' offense also was reliant on rookie running back Jamaal Williams vs. Pittsburgh. He compiled 135 yards of total offense with two touchdowns. Meanwhile, slow starts have been an issue on offense all season for Tampa Bay. It averages just 7.8 points in the first half, 25th in the league. Against the Falcons, the Bucs scored 18 points in the second half. Even if Winston returns, he’s probably going to be rusty. And if he doesn’t, it’s two backup quarterbacks. Think under is the only play here – the total won’t be very high.

  • Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 14-6-1 in Buccaneers last 21 games in December.
Free NFL Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: Bovada

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