NFL Week 13 Pick: Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Chargers

Thursday, September 28, 2017 11:38 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 28, 2017 11:38 PM UTC

What’s interesting about this game? Not a ton, although it’s the only time all season that the Browns play in the late-afternoon slot. Survivor Pick: LA Chargers.

<h2><a href="">Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Chargers (-14, 42)</a></h2><p>The Browns might have become the second team ever to go 0-16 last season if not for the Chargers. They visited Cleveland in Week 16 and lost 2017 – the Browns haven’t won since. The Bolts had zip to play for then, it was cold and it was ahead of their final game ever in San Diego. So a major trap game you should have seen coming. I don’t know what else to say about the Factory of Sadness 2017 version. They are the worst team in the NFL in straight-up record and worst against the spread at 2-9 ATS. That includes a 1-2 ATS record when they're an underdog of 10 or more points. Since the beginning of the 2015 season, the Browns are 3-8 ATS when they're an underdog of 10 or more. There’s no way the surging Chargers allow Cleveland to surprise them again – but I’m not sure L.A. should be a two-touchdown favorite over anyone. It’s not like the Bolts have much of a home-field advantage at StubHub Center. Plus, maybe they are looking ahead to next week’s tougher game vs. Washington.</p><ul> <li>Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.</li> <li>Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.</li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center;">Free NFL Pick: Browns +14.5 (buy up from 14)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=GT Bets" rel="nofollow">GT Bets</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193211, "sportsbooksIds":[1602,43,19,999993,118], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Cleveland lost its fourth straight game by double digits last Sunday, 30-16 in Cincinnati. That’s now 1-26 under Hue Jackson. Rookie QB DeShone Kizer actually played decent vs. the Bengals, going was 18 of 31 for 268 yards. He also could have had a 29-yard touchdown pass, but Corey Coleman dropped the ball in the end zone. Kizer missed one series in the second quarter while being evaluated for a concussion but he’s fine. The former Notre Dame product also will get a new weapon this week in Josh Gordon. He’s finally eligible off drug suspensions for the first time since 2014. It’s easy to forget how good that guy was in 2013 when he led the league in receiving yards in just 14 games. The 26-year-old last played a regular-season game on Dec. 21, 2014. The Chargers rolled in Dallas on Turkey Day for their second straight blowout victory. Philip Rivers ranks fifth in the NFL in passing TDs and seventh in passing yards. Keenan Allen has been on a tear as of late, catching 23 passes for 331 yards and three touchdowns in his last two games. The L.A. defense is also rolling, having forced eight turnovers and scoring three touchdowns over the past two weeks.</p><ul> <li>Over is 4-0 in Browns last 4 road games.</li> <li>Over is 9-3-1 in Chargers last 13 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.</li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center;">Free NFL Pick: Over 42</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=YouWager" rel="nofollow">Youwager</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193211, "sportsbooksIds":[139,274,1680,3970,999993], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p>
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