NFL Week 13 Expert Final Thoughts: Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

Ezekiel Elliot Running With Ball

Thursday, December 1, 2016 12:45 PM GMT

The Dallas Cowboys have won 10-straight games and take their high-powered Offense to face the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday Night Football. Let’s look at some Trends and make a couple of picks for this matchup.

NFL PICKS SEASON RECORD: 70-50-3

 

Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings, 12/1/2016

The Minnesota Vikings (6-5 SU/ATS, 218 PS-192 PA) open the doors of the brand new US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to super Rookies Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and the Dallas Cowboys (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS, 316 PS-213 PA) Thursday night in the Week 13 opener. After some early Sharp action, sportsbooks have the Cowboys from 3 (-125, BetDSI) to 4-point favorites (Bovada) after opening up at 2½. The Consensus at press time saw $165,216 had been bet on Dallas (95.28%) to just $8,181 on Minnesota (4.72%).

 

The Total is at 43½ (Sportsbetting.ag) to 44 (5Dimes) while the Money Line odds have the Cowboys -173 chalks (BetOnline) with the Vikings +163 in this matchup. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened up Dallas as 2-point favorites in its NFL Week 13 Advanced Line while in its 2015 Games of the Year, it opened Minnesota up -3 -120 favorites, so a 7 point swing (so far) from that Spring number to the Dallas -4 Bovada now shows for this game which will be broadcast on Twitter.

 

 Series Trends, Side & Totals

The Thursday Night Football Trends show Dallas (+550/1 to win Super Bowl, 5Dimes) to be 2-0 SU/ATS (since 1990) but 1-6 L7 Thursday's (Day or Night) including a Thanksgiving non-cover against the Redskins. Minnesota (65/1 to win Super Bowl, at Bookmaker) is 4-5 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-2 ATS at Home and 3-1 ATS as an Underdog on Thursday nights and 9-3 ATS vs. Dallas since 1992. Vikings Unders are 7-4.

 

 

Minnesota is 8-0 ATS L8 at Home against a Team with Winning Road Record, 19-7 ATS L26 on FieldTurf and 37-16 ATS L53 overall (69.8%). The Cowboys have W10 SU since a 1-point Week 1 Home loss to the Giants (DAL -1, 48) and are 5-0 SU/ATS on the Road.

 

 

Cowboys Offense More Than Rookie Duo And Superb OL

With Teddy Bridgewater (Knee) and Adrian Peterson (Knee), Minnesota (1-5 ATS L6 vs. NFC) might have a shot, but with the Vikings two main Offensive stars out all season and the Purple putting up historically low Yards Per Rush numbers (2.8), the Vikings should have too much trouble scoring here while the Cowboys should have 3-4 TDs and a FG or two with players like Dez Bryant, Jason Witten, Alfred Morris, Cole Beasley and Terrance Williams showing that the Dallas Offense (28.7 ppg, #3 NFL) isn’t just about the two superstar kids and that great OL.

 

 

 

 

 

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Cowboys 30 Vikings 20Free NFL Picks: Cowboys -3 & Over 43½Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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