It’s Unanimous: Bears-Giants Going UNDER In The Rain

Jason Lake

Sunday, December 2, 2018 12:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 2, 2018 12:00 PM UTC

The Chicago Bears have the league’s best defense, and they’re about to play outdoors in December against the New York Giants. The UNDER is a very popular NFL pick.

Jason’s 2018-19 NFL picks record through Week 12: 6-12 ATS, 3-4 Totals

Chicago (8-3 SU and ATS) at N.Y. Giants (3-8 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)Free NFL Pick: UNDERBest Line Offered: 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3452841, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,93,19,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

This is usually where we take advantage of the big line moves that hit the NFL odds board every week. Today, we’re doing something a little different with our consensus report; we’re still going to show you who’s betting whom, but for our NFL picks, we’re hitting up a total that hasn’t budged since the open. And thank goodness for that, as you shall see momentarily.

First, those spreads. There’s one game in Week 13 that stands out from the rest: Sunday’s matchup (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS) between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Oakland Raiders. We featured this game in our opening odds report, and the Chiefs are still hauling in the big bucks. The expanded consensus figures at press time show 60.42 percent of bettors and 91.63 percent of the money on Kansas City, for an average bet of $337 to just $47 for Da Raiders. Yowza.

Chucky < Chiefs

It could be sharp money, but we’re not going to pull the trigger on this one. The Chiefs are still 15.5-point road faves, which is a lot of points even in today’s NFL, and FiveThirtyEight only project K.C. as an 11-point chalk. Yeah, there’s a good chance they completely destroy the tanking Raiders – just not enough of a chance to satisfy our needs.

The most significant line move for Week 13 is in Miami, where the Dolphins will host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS). Miami have moved from –7 to –3.5 since the open, cutting deeply into the potential profit margin on the Bills, who project as 2-point underdogs at FiveThirtyEight. Yet the consensus numbers show 43.58 percent of bettors and 54.07 percent of the cash on the Dolphins, which would normally suggest a slight sharp lean towards the Fish. It’s complicated. Let’s move on.

Keeping It 100

Sadly, we don’t have the technology yet to give you expanded consensus figures on NFL totals. But we can tell you that 100 percent of bettors surveyed have taken the UNDER for Sunday’s Bears-Giants game. The total for this bad boy opened at 44.5 points, and it’s still there at press time. Outstanding.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Chase Daniel rides again.

— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) 29 de novembro de 2018

You’ve got so many good reasons to bet the UNDER. The Bears rank No. 1 in the league in defensive efficiency, according to Football Outsiders. Chase Daniel (89.4 lifetime passer rating) is going to start for Chicago in place of Mitch Trubisky (97.7 rating this year), who’s out with a shoulder injury. And the weather forecast for East Rutherford calls for a 60-percent chance of rain at kick-off. Sweet, sweet New Jersey rain. Drink it in, man, and may the prolate spheroid be with you.

comment here