After some careful research, I have identified my three best team prop picks for Week 12 of the NFL.
Browns vs. Falcons race to 10 points
While it may not seem like a game you are pinpointing to watch this Sunday, the Browns and Falcons are full of nice NFL Odds values. I already took a player prop on this game, and I am using it for another one here in the team props. Despite the NFL Odds favoring the Falcons here at home at -3, I actually see the Browns as the ones to get on the board first, and subsequently get to ten points first.
Atlanta’s defense is one of the worst in the NFL, and despite being within striking distance of that division, I could see them giving up some early points in this one. The Browns have been ok at scoring first in games this season, and as long as their passing defense shows up, they should get to ten first, and get close to winning this game outright.
My Free NFL Team Props Pick: Browns first to 10 points (+110)
Lions vs. Patriots O/U 2.5 FGs
Normally for these props I like to pick a field goal total of 3.5, but there weren’t as many that caught my eye this week, so instead, I’m dropping it down to 2 ½ field goals this week, and going with the over for the Lions and Patriots. The Patriots are the best kicking team in the NFL heading into Week 12, making 24 out of 25 attempts. While Detroit has struggles this season finding a kicker who can be accurate for them, all they really have to do is add one successful field goal to this total, because Stephen Gostkowski will likely have two or three all by himself.
The NFL Odds have some chalk around this bet at -137, however it’s about as safe of a NFL pick on team props as you’re going to find out of me for this series. With Matt Prater kicking for them, the Lions have been better, but he hasn’t been great missing three out of 12. However two of those misses came in his first game with the Lions this season, and in his last three games Prater has made seven of his eight attempts. Take the over.
My Free NFL Team Props Pick: OVER 2.5 FGs (-137)
Packers vs. Vikings, team to win both halves
This one is another favorite of mine this week, because the NFL Odds are putting Green Bay at +120 to win both halves. I thought they would be far less of a value than that against the Vikings, and I am going with the value. The Vikings have struggled on offense this season whoever is under center, and without Adrian Peterson they are virtually done. They did pick up Ben Tate from the Browns this week which should help their running game, but in the end, the Vikings have been held to under 20 points in a game six times this year, and they likely won’t get much more than that in this game. As long as the Packers score 14-17 points in each half, they should win both halves, and cash this +120 a gift from bet365.
My Free NFL Team Props Pick: Packers (+120)