NFL Week 12 Pick: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, September 27, 2017 11:14 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 27, 2017 11:14 PM UTC

The battle of Ohio has not been close in years as Cincinnati looks to keep the Factory of Sadness as the NFL’s only winless team. That’s a safe bet. Survivor Pick: Cincinnati.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-8, 38.5)

Cincinnati has won the past six in this series, and the closest the Browns have come has been 13 points. In Week 4 in Cleveland, the Bengals entered at 0-3 but rolled to a 31-7 victory – their only win this season by more than four points. Andy Dalton only missed on one throw in the first half, going 17 of 18 for 215 yards and three touchdowns as Cincinnati led 21-0 at the break. He finished 25 of 30 for 286 yards and four scores. Tyler Kroft caught two of those scores. De Shone Kizer was just 16 of 34 for 118 yards and a TD before being replaced late by Kevin Hogan. Following Sunday’s 19-7 loss to the Jaguars, Coach Hue Jackson committed to Kizer as his starter the rest of this season – at this point, what does it really matter? Jackson won’t be back next year, and the Browns are surely going to take a quarterback with the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. Kizer was responsible for four turnovers in the loss to the Jaguars, one that gave Jacksonville a defensive touchdown, another that set up a touchdown. I wouldn’t take the Bengals as more than a TD favorite against any other team in the NFL – but against Cleveland I sure will.

  • Browns are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.
  • Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Free NFL Pick: Bengals -8Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Cincinnati isn’t dead in the playoff hunt yet at 4-6 following Sunday’s 20-17 victory in Denver. The Bengals currently sit 10th in the AFC but just a game behind Baltimore, which holds the conference’s final wild-card spot. Sunday’s win in Denver, thanks to three Dalton TD passes, was Cincinnati’s first win there since 1975 when franchise founder Paul Brown was their head coach. Three of the Bengals' four wins this season have come against the Colts, Browns and Broncos, who have combined for six wins. The other was against Buffalo. That Cincinnati offense is still a problem as the Bengals punted six straight times at one point against the Broncos, and Cincinnati finished with 190 net yards of offense. The Bengals are last in yards per game in the NFL at 265.6. Cleveland is last in scoring at 15.0 ppg. The Browns are the third team in NFL history to start consecutive seasons 0-10. Only the 1983-84 Oilers and 1976-77 Buccaneers have done so before. The '84 Oilers got their first win in their 11th game, while the '77 Bucs did so in their 13th.

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 12-3 in Bengals last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Free NFL Pick: Under 38.5Best Line Offered: Bet365

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