NFL Week 11 TD Scorers: Henry to Run All Over Ravens Again?

NFL Week 11 TD Scorers: Henry to Run All Over Ravens Again?
Michael Thomas #13 of the New Orleans Saints. Chris Graythen/Getty Images/AFP

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints

Sunday, November 22, 2020 – 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes Benz Superdome

It’s a debut start for Taysom Hill who has thrown a grand total of 18 passes (10 completions) in his entire NFL career. It’s a weird choice, and one that I’m not sure many thought would be the one made by Sean Payton with Drew Brees sidelined for at least three weeks. But he gets the nod ahead of Jameis Winston who came in when Brees got injured last week.

I guess it makes sense after they but a 1st round tender on Taysom Hill and paid him a fortune for his gadget playability this year. However, it remains to be seen whether he can actually do the old “Throw the ball to your team” thing that most QBs go for.

So it’s a little unclear who his favorite target will be, but I’ve got to assume it will be Michael Thomas who is another week healthier. He led the league in receptions last year but has been hampered by injury for most of the season so far. He only caught 2 of 7 targets last week, but it’s quite rare to get plus money on him scoring and the best sportsbooks have this as a high scoring affair, so I’ll take it.

NFL Pick: Michael Thomas anytime TD at +120 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Michael Thomas+120
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Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 4:25 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium

This is slated to be the highest-scoring game of the afternoon, and for good reason. It’s in a dome so there won’t be any weather affecting the game as it did in Green Bay. I think the Packers will be able to put up points, and if they do then the home team will have to as well and I think they’re capable of doing that.

Philip Rivers and the Colts have tended to lean towards their tight ends for a lot of the season, but as with the Titans, I think that was a result of having a lot of their wide receivers injured for a lot of the season. I’m hoping now that they’ve got a few more options back from injury that they use those guys a fair bit more.

T.Y. Hilton looks like he’s done, but they drafted a rookie in the second round this year and whenever he’s been on the field he’s looked like he could be a difference-maker. Michael Pittman finished with his first 100-yard game last time out and looked very good, he’s a big guy with surprising speed and should get a favorable matchup here with Jaire Alexander looking likely to miss out with a concussion.

Pittman +200
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Running back Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans and Ryan Tannehill #17. Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images/AFP

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, November 22, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at Bank Stadium

With such a poor anytime price for Henry (-167) I’m mixing things up a little and going for a bigger price on him scoring first in this matchup with the Ravens. Despite them being big underdogs according to NFL Odds, the way they win games is to use Henry early and often.

The Ravens were gashed by the Patriots on Sunday night giving up 173 rush yards. Damien Harris who had 5.5 yards per carry in the terrible weather there. No offense to Mr. Harris, but he’s not quite on the same level as Derrick Henry when it comes to running the ball.

Henry is looking to make it 4 games in a row against AFC North opposition with 75 yards and a TD. I see no reason why he won’t be able to do it against a beaten and battered Ravens defense, which is even more depleted than when he ran for 195 yards against them in the post-season last year.

NFL Pick: Derrick Henry first TD scorer +550 with Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

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