NFL Week 11 Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants

nfl week 11 chiefs giants

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, September 27, 2017 8:45 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 27, 2017 8:45 PM GMT

The Cleveland Browns might be the NFL’s only winless team, but no club looks more sorry right now than the Giants, who are surely looking at another loss Sunday. Survivor Pick: Kansas City.

Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants (+11, 44)

The Chiefs opened as high as -13.5 at some sportsbooks. Kansas City had never been favored by that much in a road game. The previous mark was set in 1992, when the Chiefs opened as a 12.5-point favorite in a game at Seattle. That number has come down a few points, but it’s still pretty interesting. Then we have Andy Reid’s mastery out of a bye week. Dating to his Eagles days, Reid's teams have gone 16-2 out of the bye. That’s more wins than any other team, much less a coach, has compiled since Reid took over the Eagles in 1999. Reid’s teams have averaged 24 points per game after a bye, outscoring the opposition by an average of nine points per contest, and his plus-166 point differential is second only to New England in that span. The only two teams Reid has lost to following the bye week are the Falcons in 2012 and the Broncos in 2013. Those clubs were a combined 16-1 following those meetings. Reid is 3-1 SU & ATS off the bye with Kansas City, which has never beaten the Giants on the road (0-6 all-time). Then again, those Giants teams were probably good. This team most certainly is not good and has pretty clearly quit on Coach Ben McAdoo. Then again, an 11-point home underdog? I will almost always take that many points.

  • Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Free NFL Pick: Giants +11Best Line Offered: Bovada

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I honestly don’t know why McAdoo is still in charge after his team came out of its bye in Week 9 and was smashed 51-17 at home by the Rams. Rock bottom arrived last Sunday in a 31-21 loss at previously winless San Francisco – the 49ers had scored exactly 10 points in each of their previous games. "The thing that was disappointing that showed up on film is the desire to finish on a consistent basis," McAdoo said of the 49ers loss. So how are the Giants going to slow one of the best offensive teams in the NFL? The Giants have allowed a receiving touchdown to an opposing tight end in 10 consecutive games dating back to last year. That’s the longest such streak in NFL history. In addition, four consecutive Giants opponents have gained more than 400 yards, the first time that’s happened since Oct. 12-Nov. 9, 2014.  McAdoo is sticking with Eli Manning at quarterback – for now. Manning will make this 209th consecutive regular-season start Sunday. He will break a tie with his brother, Peyton, and own the second-longest starting streak by a quarterback in NFL history. Brett Favre holds the record at 297.

  • Over is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games overall.
Free NFL Pick: Over 44Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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