NFL Week 11 Pick: Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, September 27, 2017 8:46 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 27, 2017 8:46 PM UTC

Both the Cardinals and Texans thought they would be playoff teams this year. However, then both lost their starting quarterback to injury. Survivor Pick: Houston.

Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans (+1.5, 45.5)

Arizona is 1-2 without Carson Palmer if you count the Week 7 game vs. the Rams in which the former Heisman winner broke his arm. Last Thursday, the Cards lost 22-16 at home to Seattle. That was a truly bad beat if you had Arizona -6 – which was my recommendation here. Andre Ellington scored on a 1-yard TD run with 20 seconds left to make it 22-16. All those of us who backed Arizona needed Phil Dawson to convert the PAT kick. Naturally, it was blocked. Adrian Peterson had a night to forget with just 29 yards on 21 carries, a lost fumble on Arizona’s first offensive play and later tackled for a safety. Houston is 0-2 without Deshaun Watson, done for the year with a torn ACL. The Texans were blasted 33-7 on Sunday at the Rams. Tom Savage passed for 221 yards with two interceptions for Houston. He’s just not very good. The fourth-year quarterback threw a red zone interception late in the second half when the Texans had a 7-6 lead, and another with less than five minutes to go in the game. Savage also had a pair of fumbles. A fifth turnover, an interception returned for a touchdown, was nullified by a penalty. Maybe you should have signed Colin Kaepernick, eh Texans? Yet I’m going to take Houston here simply as it’s home.

  • Cardinals are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Texans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Free NFL Pick: Texans +1.5Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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This might be the worst quarterback matchup of the entire 2017 season. You know about Savage, and Houston really doesn’t have anyone better to turn to, but he might be opposed by former Jaguars first-round bust Blaine Gabbert. That’s because Stanton suffered sprained knee in the Seattle loss. As of this writing, it’s not clear if Stanton will go, but Arizona on Monday signed Matt Barkley to the roster. Barkley was a member of the Cardinals in 2015, but was inactive the entire season. Barkley signed with the 49ers this year and was cut at the end of the preseason. His addition makes one think that Stanton’s going to sit.  Gabbert, in his seventh NFL season, was 9-41 as a starter with the Jaguars and 49ers. The Cards will make a change on the offensive line. After spending the first nine games of the season at right tackle, Jared Veldheer will move to left tackle. The decision to move Veldheer back to his natural position was a result of left tackle D.J. Humphries suffering an MCL sprain and dislocating his kneecap. Humphries is done for the year. This game might end in a baseball score.

  • Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games overall.
  • Under is 8-3 in Texans last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Free NFL Pick: Under 45.5Best Line Offered: BetUS

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