NFL Week 10 Picks: Game-by-Game Totals (Bills-Jets Could Be Ugly)

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, November 7, 2018 2:08 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2018 2:08 PM UTC

Here’s a selection for each of the 14 totals for Week 10 around the NFL. The oddsmakers have done a remarkable job to this point of the season, with 'unders' holding the slimmest of leads at 67-66.

Please note all the NFL odds for each contest are listed after the home team and are from GTBets.

Panthers at Steelers (o/v 49)

Let's make a call for a higher score with Carolina 17-4 OVER against a team that scores 27 or more points a contest. Pittsburgh is also 28-12 OVER after permitting 75 or fewer rushing yards in consecutive games. Pick: Over

Bills at Jets (o/v 37 -- Lowest of Week)

In Buffalo's last six games they have averaged an impossible to believe by any football standard 7.6 PPG. Since scoring 42 points against Indianapolis, the Jets have scored 33 total points over their next three outings. Yea, the UNDER is spot on. Pick: Under

Falcons at Browns (o/v 51)

Matt Ryan is smoldering right now and should be able to put up points on Cleveland's defense. Lose the outlier game in which Baltimore somehow managed to score only nine points and in the Browns other five most recent contests, they have 'held' opponents to "only' 35.8 PPG. The Dirty Birds are 16-5 OVER when the total is 49 or higher. Pick: Over

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

A 360 view from the #Saints pregame huddle on Sunday! https://t.co/OiL6rtfDZB#GoSaints | @CoxComm

— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) 7 de novembro de 2018
\n"}[/]

Saints at Bengals (o/v 54 - Highest of the week)

Simple logic applied. The average total score of a New Orleans Saints game is 61.2. The average score of a Cincinnati Bengals contest is 57.2. There is no college degree needed to figure out how this total will work out. Pick: Over

Redskins at Buccaneers (o/v 51.5)

Even if Washington has trouble scoring like last week against Atlanta, if Ryan "FitzMagic" Fitzpatrick has his typical game, that means at least three touchdown passes for Tampa Bay and his two interceptions and lost fumble. That should help the Redskins tally at least 17 points without putting in much effort. Pick: Over

Patriots at Titans (o/v 46.5)

Tennessee's defense is No.1 in points allowed at 17.6 PPG. That does not mean they will completely contain Tom Brady and New England. But Bill Belichick might have ways to limit what Marcus Mariota can do. Pick: Under

Dolphins at Packers (o/v 47.5)

For all the accolades thrown Aaron Rodgers way, and deservedly so, Green Bay is averaging 24 PPG. The Pack's DC Mike Pettine should blitz whatever quarterback plays for Miami and this matchup is lower scoring than anticipated. Pick: Under

Jaguars at Colts (o/v 47)

For NFL picks on totals, let follow the money. When the total is between 42.5 and 49 points and a team like Jacksonville has been beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the second half of the season, the UNDER is 38-11 since 2014. Pick: Under

Lions at Bears (o/v 45)

This NFC North skirmish saw the total drop from 47 to the present figure. The Detroit offense is not as good without Golden Tate at receiver and Chicago's 29.5 PPG is a false positive because of defensive scoring. (This writer acknowledges points are points, however.) My actual numbers say 46 points is the right number, this a lean with the altered higher score. Pick: Over

Cardinals at Chiefs (o/v 49.5)

This total is confusing. Kansas City will get their 35+ points and while Arizona only scores 13.7 PPG, because the Chiefs defense allows points to everyone, the Cardinals will reach at least 17 just by showing up. Pick: Over

Chargers at Raiders (o/v 50)

Most nightclubs have more playmakers than the Oakland Raiders. The Chargers just have to run the ball and the Raiders defense will quit and the whole game last 150 minutes and the Bolts win 30-10. Pick: Under

Seahawks at Rams (o/v 51)

Now that the Rams have lost, they can spend a lot of time trying to find ways to fix their defense. This will pay off against Seattle. Besides, the Seahawks are 12-4 UNDER in away games with the total is 45.5 or higher. Pick: Under

Cowboys at Eagles (o/v 43.5)

So much for Amari Cooper making a major difference in the Dallas offense. It's the old school notion that still rings true today, it's hard for the quarterback to complete passes when he's on his back. Philly is 16-6 UNDER at home since 2016. Pick: Under

Giants at 49ers (o/v 43.5)

There is every reason to believe this will be a 20-17 boring game. But with these teams records, unless they want to play for the No.1 draft choice in 2019, why shouldn't they play loose and free? Pick: Over

Check out SBR’s NFL game-by-game ATS picks
comment here