NFL Week 10 Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, September 26, 2017 11:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 26, 2017 11:20 PM UTC

Sunday’s Vikings-Redskins game could have playoff ramifications as Minnesota leads the NFC North and Washington is good enough to be a wild-card club. Survivor Pick: Washington.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (+1, 42.5)

This series is tied 10-10 all-time in the regular season. They met last November in Maryland and the Redskins won 26-20. The Vikings scored 20 second-quarter points to lead 20-14 at the half but obviously never scored again. Kirk Cousins threw for 262 yards and two first-half scores. Dustin Hopkins had four second-half field goals. Sam Bradford threw for 307 yards and two scores, but he remains out for the Vikings. Now it appears the team might put him on season-ending injured reserve if it adds Teddy Bridgewater to the active roster. Wednesday was the deadline to either activate Bridgewater from the physically unable to perform list or put him on injured reserve and lose his services for the remainder of the year. The Vikings aren’t likely to bring Bradford back next year so they’d probably prefer to see what Bridgewater has after that devastating injury. Minnesota come off its bye week and sticks with Case Keenum at QB, while Washington had a very impressive 17-14 win in Seattle last Sunday. Cousins led the team on the winning 70-yard touchdown drive in just 35 seconds against that terrific Seahawks defense. Don’t rule out the Vikings having serious interest in Cousins this offseason.  

  • Vikings are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
  • Redskins are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Free NFL Pick: Redskins +1Best Line Offered: Youwager

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The Vikings currently have a four-game winning streak, tied for the third-best streak in the NFL and the third-longest streak since Mike Zimmer become head coach in 2014. I’m leaning ‘over’ here even though Minnesota has a terrific defense and Washington’s is a bit underrated. Vikings defensive end Everson Griffen ranks third in the NFL with 10 sacks and is one of only three players (Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis) to record a sack in each of his team’s first eight games of a season since the individual sack became an official statistic in 1982. Just don’t expect much scoring in the first 15 minutes of game time. The Redskins have allowed just 16 first-quarter points all year. They have surrendered 57 in second quarters, 53 in third quarters and 68 in fourth quarters. Minnesota has scored 16 total points in the first quarter, 69 in second quarters, 56 in third quarters and 38 in fourth quarters. The Vikings are ninth in the NFL in rushing yards per game. The Redskins defense ranks 16th in rushing yards allowed (110.5). I simply think both teams can get to 21 points and then Washington will win it on a field goal near the end.

  • Over is 20-7 in Redskins last 27 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Free NFL Pick: Over 42.5Best Line Offered: WagerWeb

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