NFL Week 10 Pick: Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers

Tuesday, September 26, 2017 11:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 26, 2017 11:42 PM UTC

Just the sixth all-time meeting between the Dolphins and Panthers. Miami leads 4-1 but lost the last one in 2013. Survivor Pick: Carolina.

<h2><a href="">Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers (-10, 40)</a></h2><p>I find the Dolphins to be one of the most boring teams in the NFL and they have been for a while. But they remain one of the NFL’s most popular teams simply because of their past with Don Shula, Dan Marino, etc. This is Miami’s 83<sup>rd</sup> game on Monday night, a league record. Dallas is second with 79. Rather amazingly, the Fins are 41-41. The only other teams with at least 40 wins on MNF are San Francisco (48), Dallas (45) and Pittsburgh (44). Miami is just 15-24 on MNF in games decided by seven points or fewer. One last excellent tidbit from the team website: Now that the Dolphins will have played Carolina on MNF, that leaves only six active teams they haven’t faced in that slot: the Ravens, Texans, Lions, Vikings, Rams and Seahawks. This is Miami’s third straight prime-time game this year and it lost the previous two, Thursday night in Week 8 in Baltimore and last Sunday night at home vs. Oakland. Carolina is on a two-game winning streak as it looks to keep pace with first-place New Orleans in the NFC South. The Panthers are likely to be without their best offensive lineman in Pro Bowl center Ryan Kalil, who has been in and out of the lineup this year due to injury. There’s little chance Carolina losses this game, but it’s not really a good enough team offensively to give 10 points.</p><ul> <li>Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.</li> <li>Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.</li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center;">Free NFL Pick: Dolphins +10 (buy up to 10.5)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=Bet365" rel="nofollow">Bet365</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193170, "sportsbooksIds":[43,19,169,93,1680], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]</p><p>This has one of the lowest totals on the board as neither offense is very good. Plus, both teams traded one of their best offensive players – Miami with running back Jay Ajayi and Carolina sending out WR Kelvin Benjamin – at the Oct. 31 deadline. Fins QB Jay Cutler had the first game of his career last Sunday with at least 300 yards passing, three TDs and no picks, but that obviously is not the norm. He has been otherwise lousy in 2017. Carolina’s defense is the best he will have seen thus far ranking No. 4 in points (17.7 ppg), No. 2 in rushing (78.4 ypg) and No. 6 vs. the pass (196 ypg). Good luck to Miami, which can’t run the ball a lick (30<sup>th</sup>) and somehow doesn’t have a rushing score yet (only team in the NFL without one). Although the Dolphins hold the third best red zone efficiency (66 percent) in the league, they rank dead last in red zone scoring attempts per game (1.9). Meanwhile, the Panthers are one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL and topped 200 yards rushing in last week’s win over Atlanta. That’s how they like to win: controlling the clock on the ground and on defense. The Dolphins are pretty good against the run, surrendering 94.0 ypg.  </p><ul> <li>Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 road games.</li> <li>Under is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 home games.</li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center;">Free NFL Pick: Under 40</h2><h2 style="text-align:center;">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=YouWager" rel="nofollow">Youwager</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3193170, "sportsbooksIds":[139,999993,1252,1389,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]</p>
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