NFL Week 1 - Dolphins-Seahawks Lead Biggest Spreads & Picks

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, September 11, 2016 2:50 AM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 11, 2016 2:50 AM UTC

Don't think winning Week 1 matters in terms  of winning a Super Bowl? The 50 Super Bowl champions went a combined 40-9-1 in their first game of the season. Seven of last year's playoff teams also won. Here are the biggest Week 1 spreads on NFL odds.

Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks
If you are the Dolphins and have to take the longest road trip in the NFL (not including London), then you might as well do it Week 1 when you have plenty of time to get out to Seattle instead of coming off a game the previous week. And new Miami head coach Adam Gase is taking advantage of this. The Dolphins flew out Thursday, two days earlier than they would leave for a normal road game and a day earlier than most East Coast teams would travel to the West Coast. Gase says it gives his guys "the best chance to win." Really, flying West Coast to East Coast is the killer, but no harm in going out and getting used to the time difference. The team will have a full practice on Friday in Seattle. The Dolphins have a 3-2 record playing in Seattle but haven't been there since 2004 when the Seahawks played in the Kingdome. It's not wise to bet against Seattle at home in September as the Seahawks are 10-0 ATS in September home games under Coach Pete Carroll. While I think Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC, I worry about the team's offensive line early in the season. The team has four new starters on it but allowed 11 sacks in the preseason and now rookie guard German Ifedi is hurt and won't play. He was set to start on the right side. The Seahawks will open the season with top running back Thomas Rawls and tight end Jimmy Graham likely not 100 percent but both are expected to play.

I usually jump on double-digit dogs with my NFL picks but won't here -- I probably would at 10.5. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its past five on the road.

NFL Pick: Dolphins +10.5
Best Line Offered:  at Heritage where you can get a 50% Cash Sign Up Bonus! Dolphins +10.5

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011202, "sportsbooksIds":[169,93,1275,227,180], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 
Kansas City has won four straight in this series and totally shut down the Chargers last season in holding them to six combined points. It should be noted that top Chargers receiver Keenan Allen missed both games with a kidney injury. He has had success against K.C., catching 20 passes for 271 yards in three career games.  QB Philip Rivers has a new deep threat in former Browns receiver Travis Benjamin. I think San Diego will be much better than last year, but that's not saying much. Mike McCoy is still the betting favorite to be the first coach fired. It looks like the Bolts will open the season without defensive end Joey Bosa, the No. 3 overall pick in this year's draft who staged a long holdout. The Chiefs start the season without top pass-rushing linebacker Justin Houston, the NFL sack leader in 2014, as he's on the PUP list while rehabbing from ACL surgery. It also sounds as if the Chiefs might hold out running back Jamaal Charles as he rehabs from the same thing. But Kansas City is pretty deep there with Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West. The warm-weather Chargers have to be thrilled this game is in September instead of December. Those 1 p.m. ET starts for West Coast teams are always a challenge.

Pounce on this now at 6.5 and give the points as for the majority of the week it was at 7. San Diego is 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings. The Chargers are 3-9 ATS in their past 12 vs. the AFC West.

NFL Pick: Chiefs -6.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle Sports

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011197, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1275,169,180], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans
The Cleveland Browns and New Orleans Saints were the only two winless teams in the preseason, but you'd be hard-pressed to find a team that looked worse than the Bears. The first-team offense did little and appeared to miss departed offensive coordinator Adam Gase, running back Matt Forte and tight end Martellus Bennett. This will be the NFL debut of receiver Kevin White, Chicago's No. 7 overall pick in 2015 who missed all of last season. He was quiet in the preseason  until catching four balls for 57 yards in the finale. I'm assuming White plays because he is listed on the injury report with a hamstring injury. Chicago's best offensive lineman, guard Kyle Long, is dealing with a shoulder injury but also set to play. The Bears need all hands on deck up front to deal with Texans end J.J. Watt, who will go despite missing all of the preseason due to back surgery. Watt was so banged up that he said he wondered if he would ever play again. He never missed a game last year while racking up a league-leading 17.5 sacks en route to his unprecedented third Defensive Player of the Year award. It's the Houston debut of QB Brock Osweiler, but he faced the Bears last year while with Denver. In the first start of his career, the Broncos won 17-15 at Soldier Field. Osweiler completed 20 of 27 passes for 250 yards two TDs and a terrific rating of 127.1.

Houston. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their past four September game. The Texans are 7-3 ATS in their past 10.

NFL Pick: Texans
Best Line Offered:  at Bovada where you can get a 100% Cash Sign Up Bonus!

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011198, "sportsbooksIds":[999996,93,1275,169,180], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]


comment here