NFL Underdog Betting Value in Patriots vs. Redskins Aug. 7th

Tuesday, August 5, 2014 3:37 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2014 3:37 PM UTC

One of the first games to kick off on Thursday night is the Patriots heading into Landover, MD to play the new-look Redskins. The NFL Odds favor the home team at -1 ½, with a total of 38 points. 

Redskins’ First Step
Under new head coach, Jay Gruden, the Redskins are likely going to implement a deep passing game to go along with a nice rushing attack. They should have that on display in this game against the Patriots. Reports from Redskins camp say that Jordan Reed is also looking good, which only adds another dynamic option to the Redskins’ passing attack.

Robert Griffin III and the starters for the Skins on both sides of the ball will likely only be in the game for a few series, however you can bet that Gruden is going to want to get a win under his belt to start the season.

However last season, first-year head coaches didn’t fair to well in the preseason. In Week 1 of the 2013 preseason, first-year head coaches went 2-4 SU. This might spell bad news going up against the Patriots, because Bill Belichick is one of the best Week 1 preseason coaches in the NFL.


Belichick, Before you Wreck
The Patriots have flown well under the radar this offseason compared to their Super Bowl NFL odds. Compared to the Broncos, Seahawks and 49ers, the Pats are by far the least reported on team, and they love it that way. Tom Brady has been called “declining,” after last season and this summer, and even though some of the talk may be warranted, it’s fair to say that all of the people preaching a Brady collapse this season are mentally unstable.

The Patriots have one of the deepest offenses in the entire NFL, and even though the starters will likely only get a few series, the Pats are deep enough to play first-string talent in the second string for this game. Even though Aaron Dobson is still on the med from having a screw planted in his foot, the Pats have plenty of young depth in the receiving core.

They are also going to want to get a long look at their two quarterbacks behind Brady this season. New England spent a second round pick on Eastern Illinois’ Jimmy Garoppolo, and you know they will want to see him push Ryan Mallett for the backup job behind the Golden Boy. With a full stable of running backs, including their 4th round pick, James White, the Patriots have plenty to look at this summer. It could affect the way Bill Belichick plays this first preseason game.

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The Sharp Pick
Belichick is 11-4 SU in Week 1 of the preseason during his career, and with the Pats looking deep on both sides of the ball, they will likely be able to take advantage of the Redskins’ second and third strings. After their improved starters on defense, Washington doesn’t have much right now on that side of the ball.

With the Patriots as slight underdogs in this game, it gives the NFL odds great value. The moneyline at most sportsbooks for this game is at +105, and that is a winnable wager for Thursday night.

My Free NFL Pick: Patriots +105 at BetOnline sportbook

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