The Bears and Packers always put forth an entertaining game, and Thursday night should be no exception. Even with several of the “experts,” picking the Packers to win outright, the spread is an interesting wager when you consider a few things about this game.
In case you haven’t watched any Bears games through the first three weeks, the one thing that stands out is their front seven. It’s really freaking good. They rank eighth against the run early in the season and as a team they have 3 picks, 7 sacks, and 9 forced fumbles. Even though they’ve only recovered three of those dropped balls, it’s impressive from a defense that has been a joke for several seasons.
That being said, the Packers offensive line is looking pretty shaky right now. Bryan Bulaga and David Bakhtiara are both doubtful and that is going to put a ton of pressure on Aaron Rodgers to get outside of the pocket, improvise and still make plays down the field.
If the Bears are winning the battle in the trenches, which I fully expect them to do, I don’t see Ty Montgomery doing anything in this game either way. This game is going to be on Rodgers on a short week to overcome his banged up o-line. He is fully capable of doing so at home, but it will be interesting to see how much pressure he is facing.
If the Packers can get some competent line play at tackle, it all comes down to beating this Bears secondary at home. This shouldn’t be too hard if Rodgers is pretty well protected, but if he isn’t this game is going to be closer than the spread suggests.Teaser Time?
My thoughts on this one immediately go to a teaser on the Bears. If you can move the line up to +14 ½, you’re making progress on a solid pick. The problem is what to tease it with. The total for this one is hard to peg either way, even with adding/subtracting six or seven points from it.
This game could be high scoring, or it could be 17-13 and both defenses dominate. I simply don’t know. But, if you have the capability to tease it with a line you like on Sunday, that may be the way to make money off what should be a good game tonight.
The Bears have beaten the Packers twice in Lambeau Field over the last four seasons and it is not out of the question that they could come in and play well on the national stage.
The Bears should be 2-1 after blowing Week 1 against the Falcons, and while the Green Bay defense might make this a moot point, if the Bears defense comes to play as well, this could be an ugly one. Keep this in mind when locking in your final NFL Picks for Thursday Night Football.