NFL Super Bowl Picks: Top Value Teaser to Increase Profit

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, January 21, 2015 4:33 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2015 4:33 PM UTC

With more than a week until the big game, the NFL Odds for the Super Bowl have been moving quickly. Get more value out of this game using the teaser to help you gain  a win in your NFL picks.

Teaser explained
A teaser is a form of a parlay where you chose two or more bets to link together. However the advantage the bettor gets is they are able to add or subtract points from totals and spreads, in order to give them a better value. A two-team, 6-point teaser, which is what I am using for the Super Bowl, has NFL Odds value of -110, or the same as a straight wager on the spread or total. For a game like the Super Bowl, it’s almost a necessity. Here is a look at my best teaser bet for the NFL odds. right now.

Super Bowl Prop Betting Odds Comparison Guide

Patriots vs. Seahawks
So far over the first 72 hours of the Super Bowl NFL Odds being out, a swarm of action has come in on both sides, but there appears to be some big money bets coming in on the Patriots, but the volumes suggests that the Seahawks might be taking in more money overall. This has swung the NFL Odds in favor of the Patriots, from -1 to even -2 at some sportsbooks. This takes away some of the early underdog value that the Patriots had, but either way I think I’m going with them in my teaser play.

If you feel like using the seven-point teaser to get the Patriots back up to +6 I think it’s a fine plan, but I am sticking to +5, because I think the Patriots will win outright. Both defenses and running games are top notch, and it’s probably a big reason (other than deflated footballs- -just kidding) they both are in the Super Bowl. However when it all boils down to it, the better passing game and quarterback is going to win this game. Although they both are expected to play with the extra week to rest, I am a bit concerned with the health of the Seattle secondary. Richard Sherman sprained his elbow, and Earl Thomas dislocated his shoulder in the NFC Championship. These are injuries they will be able to play through, but not comfortably.

On top of the spread, the total seems to have some nice value too. At 48 points I am teasing the total up to 54 and going with the under as my NFL pick. As I mentioned above, both of these defenses are top notch, even with the injuries to Sherman and Thomas. Along with that, both are going to want to establish the running game early and often. This could lead to a Super Bowl that’s a little lower scoring that most are suggesting. A final score of 24-20 would not surprise me at all, and it would make the under a great play next Sunday. 

NFL Pick: 2-team teaser: Patriots +5 & UNDER 52

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