NFL Sunday Picks: Bears vs. Rams

Joe Freda

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 1:30 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2013 1:30 PM UTC

The Chicago Bears notched a 23-20 overtime win in last week’s affair with the Baltimore Ravens, falling a ‘hook’ shy of cashing as 3 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Marc Trestman’s club now heads south for Sunday’s NFL betting, visiting the St. Louis Rams. Find out where we've decided to place our money for this matchup!


Check out SBRs NFL Week 12 Betting Odds Report

Bears, McCown outlast Ravens

Chicago battled back from an early 10-0 deficit against the Ravens, with both teams sidelined for two hours in a weather delay. Bears quarterback Josh McCown found backfield mate Matt Forte for a go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter, while finishing with 216 passing yards.

Forte marched for 83 yards on 18 carries, with the Bears making four red zone trips in 31 minutes of action. Chicago’s Robbie Gould hit 3-of-3 field goals, including a 38-yard strike in extra minutes for the victory.

The lengthy duel’s combined 43 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 40 ½, moving the OVER to 3-2 in Chicago’s last five matchups. Bears defensive end Julius Peppers recorded two of his side’s three sacks, while mates David Bass and Jon Bostic grabbed one interception each.

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Rams, Clemens surprise Colts

St. Louis had last week off, following its 38-8 triumph on Nov. 10 against the Indianapolis Colts. Rams wide out Tavon Austin returned a punt 98 yards for one score, while catching a pair of touchdowns from quarterback Kellen Clemens.

Clemens saw his passing yards increase for a third straight game, connecting 9-of-16 attempts. Rams running backs Benny Cunningham and Zac Stacy united for 134 rushing yards (4.1 YPR.), while the battle’s combined 46 points sailed OVER the ‘total’ of 43.

The Rams’ defense allowed 353 yards through the air from Indianapolis’ Andrew Luck, while snagging four interceptions. St. Louis’ Chris Long returned a fumble 45 yards for his side’s first touchdown, while adding four tackles and one sack.

Back the Rams at home

Bet365 opened the NFL odds for this contest at a pick’em, with initial wagers on St. Louis shifting the Rams to be one-point home ‘chalk.’  The ‘total’ was first listed at 46, dropping to 45 ½ after early action on the UNDER.

I am adding St. Louis to my week’s card of NFL picks, backing Jeff Fisher’s squad at a low premium in this spot.

The Rams have cashed at 2-1 ATS in its last three home dates, while a win before their bye week should rebuild some momentum for Clemens and Co. St. Louis reeled off a 4-1 spread record in the five contests following last season’s week off, holding foes to 18.6 PPG.

Chicago comes off an emotional victory, sending fans home happy after braving gruesome conditions. The Bears are 1-3 ATS in its weeks with McCown under center, with a lowly ranking of 31st in the league against the run (133.9 YPG allowed).

St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last six contests against foes with winning records, while feeling some revenge after last September’s 23-6 setback against the Bears. Rams linebacker James Laurinaitis logged 11 tackles in the affair, while this rematch has become a battle of backup quarterbacks.

Look for St. Louis to cruise here at Edward Jones Dome, handing Chicago another losing ticket in the team’s 1-7 spread mark following its last eight victories.

NFL Pick:  St. Louis Rams -1 at Bet365 

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