NFL Preseason Picks: Bet Rams to Cover ATS Odds at Home Against Colts

David Lawrence

Saturday, August 29, 2015 6:08 PM GMT

Saturday, Aug. 29, 2015 6:08 PM GMT

Rams welcome Colts for week 3 of preseason betting. St. Louis first home game will hopefully make the team feel more comfortable when playing. But should we side with them to cover the -2.5 spread?

What We Know About The Coaches
Chuck Pagano of the Colts is 4-10 in the preseason, 0-2 this preseason, after a 23-11 loss to the Chicago Bears. The Colts have lost seven straight preseason games overall, so if you’re a bettor, you have to take that into consideration. The Colts aren’t giving a lot of snaps to their best and most important players, which makes sense after a long 2014 run, deeper than the franchise had been in the playoffs since the Super Bowl season of 2009.

Jeff Fisher of the Rams is 35-35 in the preseason, and like Pagano, he is 0-2 this preseason after a 27-14 loss at Tennessee, his former team. Fisher doesn’t have the luxury of being able to pamper his starters heading into the season. Fisher needs to gain real information about where his team stands, due to all the changes and transactions that occurred on the roster in the offseason. Give the edge here to St. Louis for that reason.

Edge: Rams

 

Quarterback Rotation
The Colts do not appear to be giving a high workload to starter Andrew Luck, and why should they? Luck completed only five passes and attempted only nine of them in his recent outing against Chicago. The bigger question concerns the Colts’ backups, Matt Hasselbeck and Bryan Bennett. They combined to complete 7 passes in 16 attempts for 76 yards and one interception against Chicago. They do not look good, so it’s hard to rate Indianapolis well in this category.

The Rams have a much more urgent situation at quarterback. Nick Foles looked terrible against Tennessee in week two of the preseason. He threw a pick-six and is simply not locked in. He will get a lot of time in this game, at least a half, in which to try to sort out his problems and make some forward strides. Case Keenum and Sean Mannion both threw long touchdown passes against Tennessee, so if this game is still close in the third quarter, the Rams’ backups are in good position to do something about it.

Edge: Rams

 

Team Depth & Rotations
The Colts watched cornerbacks Greg Toler and Eric Patterson get injured against the Bears. They will almost surely be out of this game. Daniel Adongo might play after suffering cramps against Chicago.

The Rams did not suffer any major injuries against Tennessee. They come out of week two looking better than the Colts do in that department.

Edge: Rams

 

Outlook & Pick
The Rams get all the checkmarks and all the advantages for this NFL pick, with the proven veteran team, the Colts, not really needing to show much of anything before the regular season starts. The Rams have to figure things out, which is not a good thing in terms of the regular season, but is very good in terms of winning preseason games against less motivated competition. This is also the Rams’ first home game in the preseason; they will enjoy playing at home and indoors.

Pick: Rams -2.5 at The Greek

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