NFL Preseason Betting Preview: Falcons vs. Dolphins ATS Picks

David Lawrence

Thursday, August 27, 2015 12:41 PM GMT

Read our betting preview before placing your NFL picks, as this matchup is closer than some suspect. Both the Miami Dolphins & Atlanta Falcons will want to see more out of their backups. 

What We Know About The Coaches
Dan Quinn of the Falcons is 1-1 in the preseason after his team lost to the New York Jets last week. The Falcons’ first string was excellent; it’s just that the backups were poor. That’s something to keep in mind for this game.

Miami coach Joe Philbin is 5-10 in the preseason, 0-2 in this one, after his team lost to the Carolina Panthers, 31-30, last week. The Dolphins, like the Falcons, got a good performance from their first unit, especially at quarterback, and the backups lost ground in the second half.

These coaches basically exist on the same level as this game approaches – it’s hard to find a meaningful difference between them within the context of preseason betting.

Edge: Even

Compare NFL Odds for Falcons vs. Dolphins Here

Quarterback Rotation
The Falcons watched Matt Ryan go 4 of 5 for 75 yards against New York. He looked crisp, and very ready to start the regular season. The Falcons’ backups provide question marks, though. Second-string man T.J. Yates was only 8 of 15 for 78 yards and an interception. He did take a sack in the end zone for a safety against the Jets, but that play wasn’t his fault – he had no chance to see the rush from the blind side. Sean Renfree was solid, going 10 of 14 for 94 yards, giving Atlanta a decent third option at quarterback. Yates needs to show more.

Miami starter Ryan Tannehill was also sharp, going 12 of 15 against Carolina and showing increased comfort with the Dolphins’ offense. Backup Matt Moore – like Yates for Atlanta – was not convincing for Miami. He was 6 of 11 for 55 yards and both a touchdown and an interception. He has to be better.

This rates as an even matchup.

Edge: Even

 

Team Depth & Rotations
The Falcons will probably sit receiver Roddy White after he picked up an elbow injury against the Jets. Linebacker Derek Akunne is dealing with a foot injury, and running back Evan Royster will miss this game after absorbing and injury to his midsection.

The Dolphins have a spirited battle going on at safety, with Louis Delmas out for the year. Walt Aikens and Michael Thomas both registered four tackles last week against Carolina. Receiver DeVante Parker might play, but his status remains in question against Atlanta.

Miami doesn’t have quite as many positional deficiencies to worry about, though the loss of Delmas is important. Give a slight edge to the Dolphins.

Edge: Dolphins

 

NFL Betting Outlook & Pick
The fact that Matt Ryan is so established as a quarterback should make him and the Falcons a little less concerned about playing a lot of snaps here. Tannehill has more to achieve, and that should give Miami the edge. Take the Dolphins for your NFL picks in this particular situation.

NFL Pick: Dolphins -3 at 5Dimes