NFL Predictions - Patriots Head In All Beat Up Against Cardinals On SNF

Jimmy Garoppolo In The Huddle

Kevin Stott

Sunday, September 11, 2016 5:58 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 11, 2016 5:58 PM UTC

The banged up Patriots face the Cardinals in the biggest game of NFL Sunday Action. Our expert capper provides his expert analysis and finds a surprising betting angle for his NFL Pick.

New England Patriots vs Arizona Cardinals
The Patriots (head to University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale to face Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals in a huge NFL Regular Season Week 1 inter-conference meeting and Sunday Night Football season opener. With Tom Brady suspended the first 4 games of the Season, backup Jimmy Garoppolo is scheduled to start. Most of the best rated online sportsbooks including Sportbet—which is currently offering a 50% Free Play Sign-up Bonus—currently has the host Cardinals now as solid 6½-point favorites with the Total (Points) down ½ point and currently at 46½u -107.

In the Money Line (Winner) marketplace, the Cardinals are priced at -259 with the visiting Patriots lined +231 on the takeback with Arizona at -3½ -102 on the 1st Half line with the 1st Half Total at 23½u -107 . The Arizona Cardinals Total Team Points is at 27 while the New England Patriots Total Team Points is at 19½ while heading into the opening weekend of the NFL Regular Season, the Arizona Cardinals Regular Season Win Total sits at of 10½ (Over -102, Under -118, 5Dimes) while the New England Patriots Regular Season Team Win Total is at 7½ (Over -125, Under +105, 5Dimes).


Arizona Cardinals vs. New England Patriots Last 10 Series Final Scores

2012—Cardinals 20 @ Patriots 18 (NE -13½) Total Points Scored: 38 (Over, 43½)

2008—@ Patriots 47 Cardinals 7 (NE -8) Total Points Scored: 54 (Over, 41)

2004—Patriots 23 @ Cardinals 12 (NE -7½) Total Points Scorted: 35 (Under, 41) @ Sun Devil Stadium

1999—Patriots 27 @ Cardinals 3 (NE -3) Total Points Scored: 30 (Under, 40) @ Sun Devil Stadium

1996—@ Patriots 31 Cardinals 0 (NE -10) Total Points Scored: 31 (Under, 39)

1993—Patriots 23 @ Cardinals 21 (PHX -10) Total Points Scored: 44 (Over, 38) @ Sun Devil Stadium

1991—@ Cardinals 24 Patriots 10 (PHX -6½) Total Points Scored: 34 (Under, 36) @ Sun Devil Stadium

1990—@ Cardinals 34 Patriots 14 (PHX -4½) Total Points Scored: 48 (Over, 38) @ Sun Devil Stadium

1984—Cardinals 33 @ Patriots 10 — Total Points Scored: 43 @ Sullivan Stadium

1981—Cardinals 27 @ Patriots 20 — Total Points Scored: 47 @ Schaefer Stadium

>Arizona Cardinals W4, then New England Patriots W5 with Cardinals winning the last meeting.


Why Take the New England Patriots in Such a Tough Spot?
The Patriots appear to be worth a shot plus the 6½ points but maybe wait here and see if this Point Spread continues to rise and hits 7 around game as there have been more bets written on Arizona (58%-42%, Friday morning) and for this high-profile Sunday Night Football NFL Regular Season Week 1 matchup in the Sonoran Desert and that trend should likely continue with Garoppolo an unproven commodity to the General Public and Wiseguys, the Patriots so bad ATS on the Road and on Grass lately and the Arizona Roster loaded and the Cardinals (14-4 SU, 9-9 ATS in 2015) and 4th-year Head Coach Bruce Arians (30-20-1 ATS) primed for a run at a Super Bowl 51. But backing underdog New England here at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale seems wise because they can actually win this game. 

New England and the gritty Garoppolo should find a way to put up three TDs and 2 FGs with the hosts Arizona getting three TDs and a FG of its own but falling short in a game in which taking (or using) on the Patriots +13½ in a 7-point Teaser and/or on the Money Line (+231, Sportbet) might be a good idea if taking the 6½ seems either too risky or safe, depending on your perspective. It will likely all come down to how Garoppolo plays.


Predicted Fina Score: Patriots 27 Cardinals 24
Free NFL Pick: Patriots +6½ -107*
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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