It is time for our latest version of the NFL Power Rankings, which provide insight against the betting odds the sportsbooks release. With our score differential based formula, we strive to help you with your NFL picks.
This week we are back to a full 16-game slate and have three important Thanksgiving Day contests to consider as NFL football handicappers. We encourage you to use this table of power rankings on your own against the NFL odds and you can use the standard three points for the home team.
New England has extended its lead as the best team in our power rankings. Seattle has moved up into a second place tie with Denver, followed by Indianapolis and Green Bay. For the 10th week in a row, Jacksonville ranks 32nd or dead last in our rankings.
|Power Ratings||Start||Current||Power Ratings||Start||Current|
|NFC East||AFC East|
|NFC North||AFC North|
|NFC South||AFC South|
|NFC West||AFC West|
|San Francisco||98||96||Kansas City||95||98|
|St. Louis||93||92||San Diego||96||96|
Thursday – Detroit - 6 over Chicago
The Lions were initially released at -6.5 and the betting public pushed it to touchdown, thus we essentially agree on Thanksgiving opener.
Thursday – Philadelphia -2 over Dallas
Here is our first upset of the week. With our method, Philadelphia is 5-1 in games determined by 10 or more points and some of these were by much larger outcomes. Dallas is 4-2 in the same games, but their victories all were very close to ten points, which ends up being the difference if you read the chart.
Thursday – Seattle - 2 over San Francisco
Though these NFC West squads have the same record, Seattle’s wins have been more impressive score-wise which is where we have them having the edge.
Indianapolis – 17 over Washington
With or without RGIII, we have the Colts cleaning up on the Redskins by a much larger score than the oddsmakers. Indianapolis has blown-out bad opponents to have such a massive spread difference.
Houston -12 over Tennessee
Our figure is basically double the posted number and even we are not sure if this will come true with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. Yet that is what our numbers point to and we are sticking with it.
Buffalo -4 over Cleveland
The line on this AFC contest is edging up towards what we have with Buffalo starting at -2 and up to -3. How many close games can Cleveland win anyway?
Baltimore -7 over San Diego
The Ravens were one of our favorite teams coming into the season and they are in position to take the AFC North if they keep playing like they are. Oddmakers have Baltimore at -6, but with the Chargers 0-6 ATS in recent games and teams traveling three time zones 3-9 ATS since Week 3, you might want to consider the home team with one of your NFL picks.
N.Y. Giants -4 over Jacksonville
Dull game of the week and sportsbooks have made the Giants a three-point road favorite, which is close to our number.
Cincinnati -9 over Tampa Bay
Since playing bad football in Weeks 4-6, the Bengals more resemble the squad we saw the first three weeks of the season and we can see Cincy blasting the Buccaneers.
St. Louis -7 over Oakland
We are in complete harmony with the linemakers on this non-conference clash.
Pittsburgh -1 over New Orleans
Though the Steelers have the superior record over New Orleans, Pittsburgh is +25 in point differential and the Saints are +2, suggesting New Orleans is underachieving and capable of winning this contest.
Minnesota -8 over Carolina
We find this line quite low when you consider Carolina is allowing more than 34 points a game on the road. If Teddy Bridgewater does not turn the ball over, the Vikings should cruise.
Arizona -4 over Atlanta
The wagering public shoved the Redbirds from -1.5 to -2.5 and we would not surprised to see a -3 by game time. Arizona’s strengths matchup nicely against Atlanta’s weaknesses in this battle of birds.
New England -3 over Green Bay
Our third upset call of the week has us backing what we think is the best team in football, who is 7-0 and 6-1 ATS since being crushed in Kansas City. Must see game!
SNF – Denver – 1 over Kansas City
This game opened as a Pick and shifted to Denver at -2. The Broncos are 5-0 SU and might have the Chiefs number.
MNF – Miami – 8 over N.Y. Jets
After starting with the Dolphins at -5.5, they jetted to -7 against Gang Green. Is anyone really going to quibble with this line? We didn’t think so either.