It’s a huge week of NFL action here in Week 14, and with a ton of NFL Odds, it means there should be a ton of value. One way to shop for value is to hit up the prop bets, and I have found three from bet365 that I am adding to my NFL Picks this week.
Le’Veon Bell TD Scored
With LeGarrete Blount now in New England, Le’Veon Bell is the undisputed three down back in Pittsburgh. The Steelers’ offense has been rolling over the last few weeks, and Bell’s performance this year has been amazing. Now he and the Steelers get a chance to beat up on a divisional rival in Cincinnati, and I think bell will find the end zone against this horrible rushing defense. On the year, the Bengals rank 25th in the NFL against the run, giving up 125 yards per game on the ground. On top of that, they have given up a total of 13 touchdowns to opposing running backs this season, which also ranks them in the bottom of the league. These two teams haven’t played one another yet this season, but Bell has scored in three of the Steelers’ last four games, and I see him making it four of five after this week.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: Bell TD Scored (-120)
Kyle Orton O/U 235.5 pass yards
Kyle Orton has a chance at revenge in Denver this week against the Broncos, and his passing yards total is intriguing this week. At 235.5, Orton is going to have to play better, or open up the offense more this week if he wants to exceed that total, and I just don’t think he’ll be able to. The Broncos’ pass defense has been inconsistent this season, but they have looked better recently, and Orton hasn’t exactly been throwing the pill all over the field recently. In his last three games, Orton has failed to throw for more than 230 pass yards, and in two of those three games he has failed to hit 200 passing yards. These were against teams like the Jets, who have a horrible pass defense. Even though he will be forced to throw the ball at some point in this game, I don’t think the Bills’ passing game is good enough to get Orton above 235 passing yards. I am on the under for my NFL Picks.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: : Orton UNDER 235.5 passing yards (-120)
Kyle Rudolph TD Scored
Since it’s December, I’m starting to get into the Christmas spirit, and so is Rudolph the Red Zone Reindeer. Kyle Rudolph scored his first touchdown since Week 1 last week, and now the Vikings are playing the Jets, who have given up more touchdowns to opposing tight ends than any other team in the NFL. Not only do they lead the league in giving up tight end scores, they dwarf the team who has given up the second most. The Jets have given up 12 touchdowns to tight ends this season, and with the Vikings’ offense starting to play better, I expect Teddy Bridgewater to find his big target in the end zone again. Not only is it a good bet to begin with, but also bet365 sportsbook has Rudolph’s NFL Odds to score this week at +150, which is one of my favorite values of the week.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: Rudolph TD Scored (+150)