It’s a huge week of NFL action in Week 13, and even though we already had three games on Thursday, there is still a full slate of NFL Odds this week. A way to shake up your NFL Picks is to add some props to your plays, and I have three player props from bert365 that have great value!
Fred Jackson TD Scored (Browns vs. Bills)
The Browns are heading into Buffalo to play Fred Jackson and the Bills, and after last week’s touchdown from Jackson, I see him doing it again this week against the Browns. On the season the Browns have given up nine touchdowns to opposing running backs. While this isn’t a huge number, it does rank them in the top half of the NFL in touchdowns given up to running backs. I could easily see Jackson doing it again. With the return of Josh Gordon for the Browns, the Bills are going to have to do everything in their power to slow him down. One of those tactics may be running the ball a lot. The weather doesn’t look like it’s going to pour snow down on the city of Buffalo again like it did a week ago, however there is some snow in the forecast the night before, and there is rain in the forecast on Sunday as well. This could limit the air games for both teams, leaving Jackson and the Browns running backs as the main chain movers. Take Jackson to score this week, his value from on the NFL odds is great at +130.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: Jackson TD Scored (+130)
Alfred Morris O/U 90.5 rushing yards (Redskins vs. colts)
I tried a play on Alfred Morris a week ago and failed miserably as he ran all over the 49ers for 125 yards. This week the Redskins face the Colts, a team that looked like a good rushing defense at the start of the season, but injuries and the season wearing on has made them one of the better running back matchups. However still, I think under 90.5 yards is the way to go with Morris and company for our NFL picks. Despite the good games he has been having, the Redskins have still been losing, and with the insertion of Colt McCoy, I think the Redskins will be able to pass more than they did with Robert Griffin III. That means less touches for Morris, and likely the under being he plays. Not only that, but if the Colts get a two or three score lead early in this game, the Redskins will have no other option but to ignore the run, bring in Roy Helu, and throw the ball downfield. I think Morris’ run of three straight weeks of more than 90 yards rushing ends Sunday.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: Morris UNDER 90.5 rush yards (-115)
Eli Manning O/U 265.5 passing yards (Giants vs. Jaguars)
This one is by far my favorite player prop of the week, not only because of its’ value, but because it’s very sneaky. Eli Manning and the Giants’ offense has been horrific at times this season, and most of those horrific performances have been on the road. In fact, Manning is averaging less than 230 yards passing per game when playing on the road this season, and if it wasn’t for their blowout win over the Redskins in Week 4, it might be even worse. On top of that, the Jacksonville pass defense has gotten better over the last four to six weeks. The Jaguars have not given up more than 255 passing yards in six straight weeks, and I doubt it happens this week with the Giants coming to town.
Free NFL Player Props Pick: Manning UNDER 265.5 passing yards (-115)