Typically, the first week of the NFL is the most difficult to predict and this time was no exception. Some games went to form others fell to the upset and not always the in games we expected it to happen. As well, some players were clearly rusty – even the best of them – while others were just overly jittery and enthusiastic to get started that they made awful mistakes and poor decisions on the field.
This week should be different as everything starts to settle and slowly take shape and now that better more representative odds are issued for NFL bettors to weigh in on.
Here is a look at some of the spread markets available on Week 2 NFL action along with suggested picks.
Atlanta Falcons (0-1, 0-0 home) lost on the road to the Saints 23-17 last week so they’ll be looking to take the win here and bookies favour them to do so at -250 at Bet365. We agree with the bookies here that the Falcons should win this game but where the value is to be had is on the spread. Covering a six-point spread against the St. Louis Rams (1-0, 0-0 away) is not going to be easy, especially since they are coming off a solid though narrow 27-24 victory over the Cardinals last week. Last year, the Rams performed well against the spread going 11-5-0 ATS (7-1-0 away). So did the Falcons who were 9-5-1 ATS (4-4-0 home). Still the Rams were just that small bit better suggesting that the Falcons will have their work cut out if they hope to cover the -6 spread listed on NFL odds.
Both are 0-1-0 ATS after Week 1
NFL Picks: Rams to cover at +6 -110 at Bet365.
Houston Texans (1-0, 0-0 home) came back from behind in a highly entertaining season opener against the San Diego Chargers, erasing a 21-point hole to win 31-28 and stun the home side before their fans in the process. The Texans reeled off 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter. Despite the win, they are 0-1-0 ATS. And this week they have a 9.5 spread to contend with according to bookies.
The Titans meanwhile defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 16-9 to the surprise of many and now they head to Houston hoping to prove it was no fluke and that their defensive effort specifically was a sign of more things to come. Certainly, with a 9.5 spread it doesn’t appear the bookies are buying what they are selling. After all, they went 6-10-0 ATS overall last season and lost both their games to the Texans 38-14 in September and 24-10 in December.
With both coming off wins they each head into this clash on a wave of optimism. The Titans will be tested by Houston and will find it difficult to beat them (they are the massive +325 underdogs at Bet365) but with the season still brand new and Houston clearly working things out, the Titans have a shot to hold Texans back.
After Week 1: Titans are 1-0-0 ATS while Texans are 0-1-0
Picks: Titans to cover +9.5 -110 at Bet 365
New Orleans Saints (1-0, 1-0 home) were winners in Week 1, marking Payton’s return on a successful note. Now they head to Tampa Bay where the Buccaneers (0-1, 0-0 home) are still reeling from their shocking 18-17 defeat to the New York Jets – an improbable result when seconds before the clock struck time they were up 17-16. That was a tough pill to swallow and we think they might be forced to take another as the favoured Saints -160 to win outright at Bet365 should have no trouble winning this game and, heck, even covering the rather low spread of -3.
After Week 1: Saints are 1-0-0 ATS and Buccaneers are 0-1-0 ATSPick: Saints to cover -3 -110 at Bet365