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NFL Picks: Weighing in on Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady

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Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

Can veteran quarterbacks remain viable as a new decade in the NFL gets underway?

The 2020 NFL season marks a brand new decade in the NFL, and if there’s one soundbite that’s dominating the airwaves in the leadup to the first week of the regular season it’s the changing nature of quarterbacking in today’s game.

No longer does the signal-caller have to be a polished pocket passer with textbook footwork and traditional mechanics. Quarterbacks in today’s game are dynamic, off-the-cuff players that can terrorize defenses through the air and on the ground, and that evolution in the position was nowhere more so prevalent than towards the tail end of the 2019 season when the NFL honored the emerging next generation.

On the eve of Super Bowl 54, Lamar Jackson was unanimously crowned as the league’s MVP by his contemporaries at the “NFL Honors” do, and rookie quarterback Kyler Murray clinched the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. The next night, with confetti raining down on the Kansas City Chiefs after their victory over the San Francisco 49ers, Patrick Mahomes was named as the Super Bowl LIV MVP.

Three awards in the space of 24 hours going to young, explosive, dynamic quarterbacks is telling: a sign of the changing of the guards.

Thus, how veteran quarterbacks stack up against the next generations of signal-callers is becoming a source of much debate. For instance, the much loved and well-respected player that is Tom Brady, who is embarking on a new start with Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Can Brady – the indisputable GOAT and the six-time Super Bowl champion — remain viable against the emerging trend at the quarterbacking position?

Let’s not forget, Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees either, another couple of veterans in the game. How will they fair in the face of a changing game? What about Russell Wilson, the highest-paid quarterback right now, is he a relevant bet to consider for NFL picks in 2020 MVP betting?

If the NFL odds were any indication, the prognosis isn’t entirely upsetting for these stalwarts in the game. That is, they aren’t being written off entirely.

Granted MVP odds tip Mahomes and Jackson as the top two bets in the field at +400 and +800, respectively with BetOnline. While Brady, Rodgers and Brees are tipped in the mix – respectively at +1200 (thirdbest), +2000 (fifth-best) and +2500 (sixth-best).

Top 6 Bets according to the 2020 Regular Season MVP Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

  • Patrick Mahomes +400
  • Lamar Jackson +800
  • Dak Prescott +1200
  • Kyler Murray +1200
  • Russell Wilson +1200
  • Tom Brady +1200
  • Josh Allen (QB) +2000
  • Aaron Rodgers +2200
  • Carson Wentz +2500
  • Deshaun Watson +2500
  • Drew Brees +2500

MVP Odds Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes +400

Patrick Mahomes, the frontman of the Kansas City Chiefs, quite rightly leads the charge on the MVP odds board as the best bet to clinch a third MVP award in his fledgling career. Mahomes at 24 years of age is already the first player in history to win the league and Super Bowl most valuable player award before his 25th birthday, doing so in back-to-back seasons no less. If the 2020 NFL season goes the way of Mahomes, he may win two league MVP awards and third overall MVP award by the age of 25.

Lamar Jackson +800

The Baltimore Ravens’ star is only the second quarterback in NFL history to win 10 straight games at the age of 22 or younger, joining the illustrious company of Ben Roethlisberger, who won 13 straight starts as a 22-year-old in 2004. In winning the 2019 MVP award, Jackson became the league’s youngest recipient of the award.

Tom Brady +1200

Tom Brady is a three-time winner of the league MVP award – 2007, 2010 and 2017, the latter of which saw him become the oldest recipient of the award at 40 years of age. Brady is also one of two players – the other is Joe Montana – to win multiple league (3) and Super Bowl MVP (4) awards in his career. If Brady wins the 2020 MVP league award, he would become the only player to win the award in three different decades.

Russell Wilson +1200

Russell Wilson is an interesting one in the MVP race. The Seattle signal-caller is currently the highest-paid quarterback and has one Super Bowl title to his credit. However, he has never won the league’s MVP award. If he pulls off the feat in 2020, it would mark his first-ever win.

Aaron Rodgers +2200

Aaron Rodgers won the MVP award twice in his career – 2011 and 2014. A win in 2020 would mark a third overall title that would level Tom Brady in the history books and bring him to two shy of all-time NFL league MVP winner Peyton Manning (5).

Drew Brees +2500

For some reason the MVP award has eluded Drew Brees, even though he’s the all-time leader in passing after surpassing Peyton Manning last season in the history books. Just like Russell Wilson, Brees is also a super bowl winning quarterback that has never clinched the MVP award. To do so for Brees would be an accomplishment, made all the more so precious given he’s on the wrong side of 40.

Prescott, Murray, Allen, Wentz and Watson The five other quarterbacks listed amongst the top 6 best bets include Dak Prescott, Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson – a slew of young quarterbacks at various stages in their NFL careers. A win by any of these would mark the first-ever MVP award.

Summary

The upcoming 2020 NFL season is setting up to be a right cracker, as a slew of veteran quarterbacks look to remain viable against a rising corps of young, exciting signal callers of the future.

By the odds, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees, amongst others, are in the mix, hobnobbing with the young guns as top bets to consider for NFL picks.

Clearly, bookmakers believe the seasoned veterans present value plays, even if the odds embrace the new trend and serve up Mahomes and Jackson as the top bets overall. Whether they can give the young guns a run for their money though remains to be seen.