In a normal 2-team parlay, the payout is only +250, but with my two home team picks this week, we can push that to over +320 without increasing risk too much.
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Eagles vs. Raiders
The Raiders are coming off an ugly, albeit good win over the Steelers last week, and now another east coast foe takes the long trip across the country to play in the Coliseum. The Eagles come into this game as slight underdogs in the NFL odds at +2 ½, and with Nick Foles starting this game for the Eagles, I cannot wait to jump on the Raiders. They were around -1 in the earlier NFL odds, and while we were too slow to get them at that money line price, I think we can safely add the Raiders -2 ½ to our other money line to cash a winner.
Philadelphia is giving up over 300 yards passing per game, and even though Terrelle Pryor has been shaky throwing the ball recently, this is a game where he can get back on track. He got beat up through the air last week against one of the better secondaries in the NFL, however his rushing and the Raiders’ defense were enough to overcome Pittsburgh.
Oakland is already 5-2 ATS this season, they have a better defense, and they will use it to make sure that LeSean McCoy goes nowhere fast in this game. Lay the -2 ½ with the Raiders are the first half of the parlay.
Cleveland is coming off of a surprise performance from Jason Campbell on the road last week, as the Browns went into Kansas City and played well, only losing by six points. Campbell threw for almost 300 yards and two touchdowns with no turnovers. Campbell isn’t exactly known for his arm, but he completed a couple of huge plays, one to Josh Gordon for 39 yards and a touchdown, and another big play for 47 yards to Gordon.
This week with the Ravens coming to town off of their bye week, it’s not difficult to see the Browns winning this game. The Ravens have lost their last two games SU, and they scored only 17 and 16 points in the two games respectfully. Their running game is nowhere to be found, and against the Browns’ defense, I can’t see the Ravens’ offensive woes getting solved on the road here.
The Ravens have beaten the Browns ten times in a row under the John Harbaugh era, and the Browns have not beaten the Ravens SU since 2007. However I think with that strong motivation in mind, and with the fact that the Ravens are extremely vulnerable right now, I see Campbell leading the Browns to victory this week. The money line of +120 offers solid sports betting value with a team that is at home, has more big play ability right now, and has the better defense.
My Pick: 2-team parlay Raiders -2 ½ & Browns +120 (+320)