NFL Picks Week 9 : Largest Totals on the Betting Odds Board

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, November 8, 2015 2:59 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 8, 2015 2:59 PM UTC

I've been killing it on largest totals picks and was 2-1 Week 8, hitting 'OVER' Giants-Saints & 'UNDER' on Bengals-Steelers. Here are three of the highest Week 9 totals on NFL odds.

New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (49.5 On NFL Odds)
The highest total of Week  9 is actually the 51.5 points in Redskins at Patriots but I examined that game in my largest spread story -- took Redskins and the two touchdowns -- so will skip that here. Football is a funny game sometimes. Denver's Peyton Manning didn't throw a touchdown pass last week but his Broncos beat one of the best teams in football, the Packers. Peyton's brother Eli threw six touchdown passes in Week 8 but his Giants lost to what was a 3-4 Saints team. I guess the point being that defense matters too. Against the Saints, New York allowed 505 passing yards and seven TD passes to Drew Brees. The Giants' defense is last in the NFL in passing yards allowed (315.4) but leads the league in picks (13). Tampa is playing much better of late, winning two of three. And that's largely because No. 1 overall pick Jameis Winston is playing better, not throwing an interception those three games with four TD passes. However, Winston will again likely be without one of his starting receivers this week in Vincent Jackson. That will mean a heavy dose of Mike Evans. The Tampa defense has some really good players but it's not a good unit. The Bucs have allowed at least 30 points four times and rank 28th overall in allowing 28.4 points per game. No weather worries in Tampa on Sunday.

NFL Free Pick: 'UNDER'  Both teams will dragging in the second half in the heat. The 'under' is 11-3 in the Giants' past 14 after scoring 30 points or more in their previous game. The 'under' is 7-0 in Tampa's past seven in November.

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Chicago Bears vs. San Diego Chargers (49 In NFL Betting)
Unfortunately, the NFL doesn't allow games to be flexed in and out of the Monday night slot as it does Sunday nights later in the season. Otherwise this game surely would be moved because the Chargers are 2-6 and have lost four straight and the Bears are 2-5 and have dropped two in a row -- both on the game's final play. And both teams will be missing arguably their second most important offensive player. For the Chargers, that's receiver Keenan Allen, who is second in the NFL with 67 catches and third with 725 yards. He's done for the year with a lacerated kidney. For the Bears, it's running back Matt Forte due to a knee injury that is likely to keep him out a couple of weeks. He has rushed for 548  yards and caught 25 passes. So why is this total so high with those two out? Because both defenses are terrible. San Diego is No. 27 in allowing 28.4 points per game and Chicago No. 29 at 28.9. That should mean Philip Rivers, who leads the NFL in passing yards and has five straight games with at least 350 yards and two TDs (three shy of NFL record), and Jay Cutler should have big nights. No weather worries in San Diego.

NFL Free Pick: 'OVER' It has hit in 19 of the Bears' past 26 on the road. The 'over' is 5-2 in San Diego's past seven after a loss.

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Oakland Raiders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (48 For NFL Picks)
The Steelers begin life without Pro Bowl running back Le'Veon Bell as he was lost for the season in last week's defeat to Cincinnati with a gruesome-looking ligament injury in his knee. That's certainly a big loss, but the Steelers do have one of the NFL's best No. 2 running backs in DeAngelo Williams and he two big games to start the season when Bell was out suspended. Still, I expect the team to rely  more on QB Ben Roethlisberger. In those first two games without Bell,  Big Ben threw for at least 351 yards in each and he didn't even have receiver Martavis Bryant then due to suspension; he's back now. The Raiders have the makings of a dynamic offense behind second-year QB Derek Carr and rookie receiver Amari Cooper, who would be your Offensive Rookie of the Year betting favorite at sportsbooks if not for Todd Gurley. Oakland is averaging 35.5 points in a two-game winning streak (at Chargers, vs. Jets) and Carr has seven TD passes and no interceptions in those combined. Cooper has three 100-yard games on the season. Looks like nice fall day in Pittsburgh on Sunday.

NFL Free Pick: 'UNDER' Raiders will be a bit off with the 10 a.m. Pacific time start and won't come close to 30 points this week. The 'under' is 10-1-1 in the Steelers' past 12 overall. 

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