NFL Picks Week 8: Who Will the Public Blindly Back?

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, October 21, 2014 5:21 PM GMT

After a lower scoring & very entertaining Week 7, Week 8 betting should be as good or better, especially after reading this handicapping article which details who the public is likely to blindly back.

Chargers vs. Broncos
The Thursday Night Football game starts the week off right, with a divisional matchup between the two of the best AFC teams. The NFL Odds have opened up favoring the Broncos at -7 ½, with a total of 50 ½. After their impressive win in Week 7, the public is bound to back the Broncos in this matchup. The early week NFL odds movement agrees with me. This line opened up a point lower than where it sits right now, however only 24 hours since it opened, it’s up to -7 ½. While the public should be all over the Broncos, the better play as the line increases may be the Chargers. They have one of the more balanced teams in the NFL, and even after their loss in Week 7, they should put up a good fight here. As long as their defense travels to Mile High Stadium, they will have a chance to upset the public.

 

Rams vs. Chiefs
The Battle for Missouri is this week in Kansas City, and as the Royals head out to San Francisco for the continuation of the World Series, the Rams will be taking the three-hour drive westward to play the Chiefs. Both teams had very impressive and very close wins in Week 7, however the Rams are still getting little respect by the NFL odds, and by the public’s NFL Picks. St. Louis is a +6 ½ underdog, despite proving that their defense is strong, and their offense is better than expected. They are running the ball better with Tre Mason now at the helm, and even though the Chiefs beat the Chargers, they could be in danger of not covering here. Don’t overvalue the Chiefs here. Rams fans should travel well to KC, and a close game should be expected.

 

Packers vs. Saints
Sunday Night Football should be one hell of a game between the Saints and Packers, and the NFL odds have the Saints as -1 ½ favorites, with a total of 54 ½. Immediately this line stuck out to me because of how heavily the Saints were favored when the NFL odds opened. However since then the line has dropped a full point since then, and might continue to drop. This may be a game where the public and the sharps are on the same side, because either way you slice it, the Packers’ moneyline looks like the better play here. The Saints have been playing very badly recently, and with Jimmy Graham banged up, this team’s offense is lacking upside. 5Dimes sportsbook has this game as a pick em right now, and I expect that to be the line we see this game close at by Sunday evening. If you like the Packer just as much as everyone else, take the points now, because you might not see this line stick around much longer.