Swinger's Record (10-11, -10.05 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
It's a bee-u-tee-full thing when a plan comes together as it did so seamlessly for us last week. Three plays - three winners, including a 5 unit maximum play. Well all I can say is it's about freakin' time. It's one thing to go bad when you're not doing your homework or simply flipping a coin because you want action but it's another thing entirely when you devote hours to the cause only to see your efforts go unrewarded.
But last week we broke through and didn't even break a sweat with the Bengals/Lions game going over as did the track meet between the Redskins and the Bears. Both those plays earned us three units and then we clicked with our 5 unit maximum play on the 49'ers over the Titans. Let's peruse Sunday's NFL odds and see if we can keep the good times rollin' with our NFL picks!
Cowboys-Lions - Total
The Cowboys defense has looked stout in their two most recent contests where they defeated Washington 31-16 and last week shutdown the Eagles with a 17-3 victory. Meanwhile the Lions defense is only on the field because the rules clearly state that one team must field eleven defensive players. No but seriously, are they really that bad? Well kids, they're not good as evidenced by them being in the bottom third of the league in points allowed and second to last in yardage per game allowed.
Tony Romo is having a huge year and his sparkling stats should only improve against a woeful Lions defense. Flip the script and you have Matthew Stafford and the equally devastating Megatron who will feast on a weak Cowboys secondary, particularly after noting that Cowboys pass rushing threat DeMarcus Ware will probably not suit up for Dallas thus allowing Stafford that extra second to torch the 30th ranked Cowboys pass defense.
This will be another track meet on the turf at Ford Field. Don't overthink this and ruminate about Dallas's solid defensive play lately. This is the same defense that allowed the Giants to score 31 while the Chargers tagged them for 30 and the Broncos busted the Boys for 51. Can we see both teams playing in the 30's on Sunday? You're damn straight we can Slappy and that's why the play is emphatically Over.
While some may say this game is for the birds (did ya see what I did there?), I say it's a golden opportunity to cash a winning ticket. The Falcons are not as bad as their record indicates and the Cardinals cannot win on defense alone. Carson Palmer may be a seasoned, crafty veteran and wily enough to heave a Hail Mary in the closing minutes of a game in order to get a pass interference call which would set up a winning drive (as he did against the Lions earlier this year) but he's no longer able to single-handedly dominate.
The Dirty Birds on the other hand may be battered and bruised but they're getting Steven Jackson back this week and are coming off a win and an ATS cover over the Bucs while the Cards are still licking their wounds after getting thumped by two powerhouses in the 49'ers and the Seahawks. The oddsmakers have the wrong favorite here boys.
Play the Falcons +3 (-125) for 5 units at Bet365.com
The Woodman's Corner (3-4, -1.4 units) - Guest Handicapper
The Woodman continues to grab points wherever and whenever he can this season but last week he backed a real dog, unfortunately not a live one, in Minnesota and it cost him.
This week he is once again committed to the underdog and advising a play on the Dallas Cowboys +3 on the NFL odds boards as they travel to Detroit.