NFL Picks: Week 7 Wagering Trends to Consider Before Betting

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, October 20, 2015 6:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015 6:21 PM UTC

Here’s a handy guide of NFL betting trends for all 28 teams and the 14 matchups trading at NFL betting shops in week 7 that you should spot before heading to the betting windows.

Seahawks vs. Niners
The NFC West divisional clash between the Seahawks and Niners kicks off week 7 NFL betting on Thursday. It’s a must-win game for these two disappointing teams (both 2-4 SU) if they are to have a prayer on the season. One thing is certain, one is going to improve to 3-4 SU before the weekend. But which side will it be? The road faves or the home underdogs?

The pair has split its last ten meetings evenly, but the Seahawks have covered eight in a row over that span. Last season, the Seahawks swept the series winning 19-3 on the road and 17-7 at home. The last time Colin Kaepernick and the Niners beat the Seahawks was on December 8, 2013 when they won 19-17 at home. Seahawks are 0-3 SU and 0-2-1 ATS on the road with a 5.3-point margin of defeat, which is the league worst ahead of week 7. Just saying. Here’s another titbit: Russell Wilson is 0-11 career when opponent scores 25+ points. The trick to Niners winning is to put up 25-plus points then.


Bills vs. Jaguars (LONDON)
The Buffalo Bills (3-3 SU) have landed in London, taking a late Sunday Night flight following their defeat to Cincinnati Bengals in week 6, their third home loss this season. Arriving early in London will prove advantageous to the Bills, who are looking to get back into the win column. However, mounting injuries are a concern. Tyrod Taylor is doubtful for the weekend, as well as Percy Harvin, Kyle Williams, Sammy Watkins, Seantrel Henderson and Marquise Goodwin.

On the road, the Bills are 2-0 SU and ATS mark with a 14-point winning margin. London is considered neutral territory, but their positive form away from Buffalo is encouraging. Indeed, with the Jaguars being regulars in London they’ve sort of become London’s team in the eyes of fans across the board. That gives the Jaguars a bit of a home edge at Wembley. That said Jaguars are 1-5 SU this season and 2-4 ATS with a 10-5-point losing margin. They’re coming off a 31-20 loss to the Texans, marking their fourth successive loss and fourth game to go OVER in total betting. Bills are 3-3 in O/U betting.


Falcons vs. Titans
The Falcons finally crashed down to earth behind a 31-21 loss to the New Orleans Saints at the Superdome, failing to cover as the 3-point road chalk. Nevertheless, they are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS with a 6.7-point winning margin. As the away team they are 2-1 ATS with a 1.7-point winning margin and, as the away favourites they are 1-2 ATS with a 7.7-point winning margin. In non-Conference games, they are 1-0-0 this season after beating the Texans 48-21 (a 27-point winning margin). The Titans mark the second AFC South team on the schedule. Titans are riding a four-game losing streak and are 2-3 ATS with a 3.4-point losing margin. Titans are 4-1 in O/U betting, which includes week 6’s 38-10 loss to the Dolphins. Mariota suffered a sprained MCL courtesy of a rather overly enthusiastic (polite speak for dirty) hit by the Dolphins’ defense. He’s day-to-day for the weekend, so those looking to bet on this game might want to wait until news of Mariota’s status as the starter is confirmed. The NFL odds are sure to change depending on which way the news swings.


Browns vs. Rams
Cleveland Browns are 2-4 SU but 4-2 ATS with a 2.8-point losing margin. In O/U betting, they are a perfect (league-leading even) 6-0 in O/U betting with an average of 7.8-points above pre-set totals. The Rams are coming off a bye week. They are second in the AFC West, ahead of perennial contenders Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers (both slumming it in the cellar on a 2-4 SU mark). That said the Rams are just 2-3 SU on the season, looking to bounce back from a 24-10 loss to the Packers in week 5.


Texans vs. Dolphins
Both the Texans and Dolphins are coming off morale-boosting wins in week 6, robust wins that were desperately needed to inject hope into their respective seasons. Unfortunately, one is sure to slip back into the losing column in week 7. But which one?

Texans beat the Jaguars 31-20 to improve to 2-4 SU and ATS on the season with a 4.5-point losing margin. Brian Hoyer led the Texans to their first victory since week 3’s win over the Buccaneers with a scoring spree in the fourth quarter. Here’s hoping O’Brien sticks with the seven-year veteran in the coming weeks. The total has gone UNDER in four of Houston’s last six games on the road.

The Dolphins, meanwhile, bounced back with a 38-10 win over the Titans, marking the start of Dan Campbell’s coaching career with a win. Dolphins improve to 2-3 SU and ATS on the season with a 1.6-point losing margin. Dolphins are 1-4 SU in their last five home games and 2-4 SU in their last six overall games. Dolphins are 3-2 in O/U betting this season.


Vikings vs. Lions
The Lions finally get into the win column with a 37-34 win over the Chicago Bears in OT. Nevertheless, they are 1-5 SU and ATS with an 8.7-point losing margin on average. Vikings are coming off a 16-10 win over the Chiefs, improving to 3-0 at home. On the road, the Vikings are conspicuously winless with a 0-2 SU record – yet, here’s the crazy thing, they are the road chalk in this game. Vikings are 1-1 ATS with a 10-point losing margin. Total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last seven road games. Earlier in the season, the Vikings beat the Lions at home 26-16.


Saints vs. Colts
The Colts are coming off a loss to the Patriots that has them slipping to 3-3 SU on the season and 2-3 ATS with a 3.5-point losing margin. The Saints, meanwhile, perked up to a 2-4 SU record behind an upset of the Atlanta Falcons at home. Although they are still propping up the NFC South, some NFL bettors and experts would have you believe the 31-21 win over the Falcons marks a turnaround. The Saints are 3-3 ATS with a 5-point losing margin. Colts are 1-2 SU at home and 0-2 ATS at home when trading as the home chalk against the spread. Saints are 7-2 SU over the Colts in their last 9 meetings, but the Colts are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.


Steelers vs. Chiefs
The Steelers are 4-2 SU but a perfect 5-0-1 ATS on the season with a 6.2-point margin of victory. Only the Bengals (6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS) match the Steelers at the top of the league as week-in week-out winners against the spread. Kansas City Chiefs are a disappointing 1-5 SU and ATS with a 5.3-point losing margin. As it is, the game is off the NFL odds board while we wait on word about the Steelers’ starter. Will Big Ben start the game or will they go with the backup Landry Jones, who had a stellar game in week 6 when he was unexpectedly called on to play following Vick’s injury. Chiefs are 6-3 SU in their last nine home games, but 0-2 at home this season. Steelers are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS on the road this season with a 1-point winning margin.


Bucs vs. Redskins
The clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Redskins is a right tossup for NFL picks this weekend. Bucs are 2-3 SU and coming off a bye while the Redskins are 2-4 SU, riding a two-game losing streak. Bucs are 1-1 SU and ATS on the road with a 1.5-point losing margin while the Redskins are 2-1 SU and ATS with a 3.3-point winning margin. As home team, the Redskins are 0-3 in O/U betting with a -9.5-point differential on average.


Raiders vs. Chargers
Raiders are coming off a bye and take a 2-3 SU and ATS with a 3.4-point losing margin. On the road, they are 1-1 SU              with a 2.5-point winning margin. Chargers are coming off a 27-20 loss to the Packers, marking their third successive road loss. Overall, they are 2-4 SU and ATS with a 4.2-point losing margin. The total has gone OVER in six of the last 8 Oakland games, but it has gone UNDER in five of the last six road encounters with the Chargers. The hosts are 10-4 SU over the Raiders in the last 14 meetings.


Cowboys vs. Giants
Dallas Cowboys and NY Giants are set to collide in week 7 for an intriguing NFC East showdown. Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five home games against the Cowboys, but that could change with Tony Romo side lined. The total has gone UNDER in five of Dallas’ last 7 games while the total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 8 games in NY between this pair.


Eagles vs. Panthers
The Panthers are 5-0 SU on the season after upsetting the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink in week 6 NFL betting. The Eagles are yet to play MNF in week 6 – depending on the outcome of their divisional clash with the Giants they’ll be either 2-4 or 3-3 SU going into week 7. As it is, they are 2-3 SU with a 1-1 SU record at home and a 1-2 SU record on the road. Overall, they are 2-3 ATS with a 2.8-point winning margin. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between this pair, but the Eagles are 1-4 in O/U betting this season. Panthers’ over record is 3-1-1 by an average of 4.6-points.


Ravens vs. Cardinals
The Ravens are off to their worst start under Jim Harbaugh, a 1-5 SU start following their latest setback to the Niners in week 6 NFL betting. Overall, they boast a league worst 0-5-1 ATS record with a 3.2-point losing margin. On the road, they are once again a league worst 0-3-1 ATS with a 3-point losing margin. Cardinals, meanwhile, have suffered only their second loss of the season. They are 4-2 SU and ATS with a 6.2-point winning margin. At home they are 2-1 ATS with an 11.7-poiint winning margin. The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Arizona games. Ravens may boast a 6-1 SU record over the Cardinals, but that record is a moot point give their horrendous start on this season.

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