NFL Picks: Week 7 Advanced Lines From the Westgate Las Vegas

Kevin Stott

Friday, October 16, 2015 5:12 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 16, 2015 5:12 PM UTC

Here are the Advanced Lines for NFL Week 7 from the Westgate SuperBook here in las Vegas and, as you can see, there are few decent matchups on the schedule next week.

Seattle Seahawks (-6) vs. San Francisco 49ers 
The San Francisco 49ers (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Ravens on Sunday) welcome the defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks (2-3 SU, 1-3-1 ATS; vs. Panthers on Sunday) to Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara for this Week 7 NFC West which may find these teams with similar records, Week 6 depending. Last year in this series, the Seahawks won 19-3 in The City By The Bay getting 1-point as an underdog, then won 17-7 as 10-point chalks in Seattle, pushing the number. Note how low-scoring these games (22, 24 points) were. On Thursdays, the Seahawks are 5-2 ATS and 3-1 ATS on the Road while San Francisco is 3-5 ATS and 1-2 ATS at Home. Seattle is a shiny 7-0-1 ATS L8 vs. the 49ers and the Seahawks are 3-1 ATS the L4 here in San Francisco. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Seattle as -8½ favorites in this one in their NFL Games of the Year.
NFL Pick: Seahawks -6


Buffalo Bills No Line vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Texans on Sunday) face the Buffalo Bills (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Bengals on Sunday) in this aFc inter-divisional matchup which will be played from Wembley Stadium in London, England, the second game of the 2015/16 NFL Regular Season to be played in the United Kingdom. The last time these two teams met was in 2013 where the Bills won and covered as 4-point favorites in Jacksonville, 27-20. The Jaguars and QB Blake Bortles had scored the 2nd-lowest number of points in the AFC (93)—only behind the Dolphins (65) who have played one less game (4)—and headed into their Week 5 meeting with Houston on a 3-game losing streak. The Bills are 4-1 ATS the L5 against the Jaguars and this seems like a good spot on the schedule for them. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lined this one Buffalo -7½ in its NFL Games of the Year.


Cleveland Browns vs. St. Louis Rams (-4½)
The Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, Missouri is the site of this Week 7 inter-conference meeting between the visiting Cleveland Browns (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS; vs. Broncos on Sunday) and the host St. Louis Rams (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; Open Date) in what will prove to be a tough Loss for the ultimate loser. The last time these two teams met (2011), the Rams won outright, 13-12 as 3-point underdogs in Cleveland, while in the last meeting here in St. Louis (2007), the Browns won 27-20 as 3-point favorites. St. Louis and Rookie RB Todd Gurley will be well-rested (13 Days) and the Rams are 3-1 ATS over the Browns in the L4 in this series.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs No Line
Head Coach Andy Reid (20-18 ATS) and the Kansas City Chiefs (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS; at Vikings on Sunday) welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2 SU, 3-0-2 ATS; vs. Cardinals on Sunday) to Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City next Sunday for this Week 7 AFC inter-divisional tilt. The last meeting here (2011) ended with the Steelers winning 13-9 but failing to cover as big, 11-point chalks in the Show Me State. When these two met last year at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, the Steelers won 20-12 and covered ATS as 2½-point favorites. The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS the L4 vs. Pittsburgh and Kansas City is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the Steelers here at Arrowhead Stadium. The Steelers will still be without regular starting QB Ben Roethlisberger and will likely be going with veteran southpaw backup Michael Vick.


Houston Texans vs.Miami Dolphins (-1½)
The Houston Texans (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS; a Jaguars on Sunday) head to Miami Gardens and Sun Life Stadium to face the host Miami Dolphins (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS; at Titans on Sunday) and new Head Coach (Dan Campbell). The last time these two AFC clubs met, the Texans won 30-10 as big double-digit favorites (-14) in Week 1 at NRG Stadium in Houston, while the last time these two met here in South Florida (2011), Houston won and covered, 2 3-13 as 3-point favorites. The Texans are 3-0 ATS the L3 overall vs. Miami and 3-0 ATS the L3 here at Sun Life Stadium. The Dolphins have just 14 3rd-Down Conversions in their first 4 games, heading into Week 5 and are very bad.
NFL Pick: Texans +1½


New York Jets vs.New England Patriots (-9½)
The New York Jets (3-1 SU; 3-1 ATS; vs. Redskins on Sunday) head to Gillette Stadium in New England not to see Plymouth Rock, but the play the host and defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS; at Colts on Sunday Night Football) and QB Tom Brady (70-48-5 ATS at Home) at Gillette Stadium next Sunday in a massive AFC East showdown. Gang Green (the Jets) had allowed an NFL-low 55 points heading into Week 5 play. Last season when these two met, the Patriots won, 27-25 here in New England in the first meeting, but failed to cover as chalky 9½-favorites, while in East Rutherford, the spread was the same—NE -9½—and the result was the same (Patriots Win) as was the ATS result (Jets cover) in a close 17-16 affair in Week 16. So, the Patriots won by 2 and 1 points against the Jets and then-Head Coach Rex Ryan, and New York AFC is even better this season as has former New England All Pro DB Darrelle Revis on their side. So, the Pats probably win by 22. The J-E-T-S, Jets! Jets! Jets! are 5-1 ATS the L6 overall vs. New England and New York is a surprising 4-1 ATS the L5 here in Foxboro. This one should be fun.
NFL Pick: Patriots -9½


Minnesota Vikings (-3) vs. Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS; vs. Bears on Sunday) and a hobbled Matthew Stafford (17-23-1 ATS at Home) welcome the Minnesota Vikings (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS; vs. Chiefs on Sunday) to Ford Field in Detroit next Sunday afternoon for this Week 7 NFC North affair which looked a lot better on the schedule two months ago. Last year when these two teams met, the Vikings lost 17-3 in Minneapolis as 1-point favorites while in this game in Motown, the Lions won again, 16-14, but didn’t cover, laying 8 points. Heading into Week 6 play this weekend, Detroit was the only winless team in NFL and Head Coach Jim Caldwell (8-9 ATS) and his staff aren’t looking so good right now, although this team did lose some real talent in the Offseason (NT Ndamukong Suh—Dolphins, DT Nick Fairley—Rams, DL CJ Mosley—Dolphins). The Vikings are 7-2 ATS the L9 overall in this series and Minnesota is 3-1 ATS the L4 here in Detroit. This line would have been Detroit -3 if the Lions were what we all thought they were or maybe a year ago now.


Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs.Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS; vs. Dolphins on Sunday) and Rookie QB Marcus Mariota play host to the Atlanta Falcons (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS; lost to Saints on TNF) and QB Matt Ryan (32-29 ATS on Road) at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta in this inter-conference Week 7 game which will be huge for both teams, with the Falcons coming off an upset loss to Drew Brees and the Saints on Thursday in the Big Easy. The last time these two met, the Falcons won 23-17 as 5½-point favorites in 2011 in Atlanta, barely covering ATS by ½ point, while the last meeting here in Nashville was in 2007 where the Falcons lost 20-13, but covered (by 1 point) as 8-point underdogs. A couple of close shaves, eh Wilma? Atlanta will be coming in off Days Rest.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins (-5)
Top Draft pick Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; Open Date) head to FedExField in Landover, Maryland to face the Washington Redskins (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS; at NY Jets on Sunday) in this inter-divisional NFC between two teams who will really need the Win here. The last meeting between these two was 2012 at Tamp where the Redskins won outright, 24-22, as 2-point underdogs, while the last meeting here in (near) the capital of the US, the Redskins were surprised, 31-7 by Tampa Bay as 7-point favorites. The Redskins are 1-3-2 over the L6 in this series and will need a good game from starting QB Kirk Cousins. The Buccaneers s will be coming in with 13 swashbuckling Days of Rest, coming off of their Bye week. The site and the Redskins improvement on Defense should be two of the big things here in this Week 7 contest few may watch and few may wager on.


New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts (-6½)
The Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS; vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football) and (hopefully) Andrew Luck welcome Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS; beat Falcons, 31-21 on TNF) to Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis next Sunday afternoon in the Week 7 inter-conference game which will be a tough, possibly playoff-killing Loss for the losers. The last time these two teams played was in 2011 in The Big Easy where the Colts more than got saddled, 62-7 as 13½-point underdogs, while the last meeting here in Naptown (2007 was in Week 1 where Indianapolis romped 41-10 as 5½-point chalks. These two also met in Super Bowl XLIV at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens with former Purdue Boilermakers QB Brees and the gumbo-chewing Who Dats beat Peyton Manning and Indianapolis outright, 31-17, as 4½-point underdogs for their first and only NFL championship and the only major professional title for the city which has no MLB or NHL teams and only the NBA’s Pelicans besides the Saints. New Orleans is an impressive 6-2 ATS the L8 against the Colts.


Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers (-4½) 
Philip Rivers (41-34-1 ATS at Home) and the San Diego Chargers (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS; at Packers on Sunday) welcome David Carr (5-5 ATS on Road) and the Oakland Raiders (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; Open Date) to Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego in the AFC West matchup which will prove to be a very rough Loss for the losers. Last year in this series, the Bolts won 31-28 in Oakland but failed to cover as 7-point favorites, while in San Diego in this game last season, the Chargers won 13-6 but again failed to cover, laying 10 points. The Raiders are 9-3 in the L12 in this series and with QB carr, Rookie WR Amari Cooper (Alabama), Free Agent WR Michael Crabtree (49ers) and K Sebastian Janikowski and new Head Coach Jack Del Rio, actually have better personnel than in past seasons, although oddsmakers won’t be so liberal with the points where the Silver and Black are concerned right about now.


Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants (-5½)
The New York Giants (3-2 SU; 3-2 ATS; at Eagles on Sunday) play the Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS; Open Date) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey next Sunday afternoon in this NFC East game between teams who expected to be in opposite places. Last season, New York NFC and QB Eli Manning (43-50-1 on Home) and the G-Men lost 31-21 at Arlington as 4½-point underdogs, failing to cover ATS, while in this game in the Garden State, the Cowboys won, again, 31-28, but failed to cover 1 point, giving 4 points to New York and Victor Cruz. Hopefully, superstar WR Odell Beckham Jr. and Cruz will both be healthy for the Giants.The Giants are 2-3 ATS L5 against the Cowboys after a Week 1 cover as a 7-point underdog in a 27-26 loss at AT&T Stadium in Arlington and Jerry World. If Brandon Weeden (L11 straight SU, L11 straight ATS) would have started for America’s Team—who will be well-rested, coming off their Open Date—the Giants would be an automatic go-on here, but Dallas Head Coach Jason Garrett has decided to go with the newly acquired Matt Cassel (Bills) here against the Giants, prompting Weeden to say, “I’m pissed.” I imagine Cowboys backers the L11 games that Oklahoma State product Weeden started are a little bit “pissed” too, Branden. Something weird is bound to happen in this Week 7 game.The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lined this one at New York -6½ in its NFL Games of the Year.


Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers (-2½)
Cam Newton (18-16-1 ATS at Home) and the Carolina Panthers (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS; at Seahawks on Sunday) welcome Sam Bradford and the Philadelphia Eagles (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS; vs. Giants on Sunday) to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina next Sunday for this NFL Week 7 inter-divisional tilt and huge game for both teams. The last time these two played, the Panthers were smashed, 45-21, last season in Philadelphia as 7½-point favorites while the last time the Eagles visited that state that gave us the guys that invented the Airplane (The Wright Brothers), North Carolina, the Eagles again trounced Carolina, 38-10 as 2½-point favorites in Week 1 in 2009. The Eagles are 4-1 ATs the L5 vs. Panthers. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Panthers up as 1½-point favorites in this one in their NFL Games of the year, out in the late Spring.


Baltimore Ravens vs. Arizona Cardinals (-7)
The upstart Arizona Cardinals (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, at Steelers on Sunday) and QB Carson Palmer (37-32-3 ATS on Road) return home from a 2-game Road trip (Detroit, Pittsburgh)—the team wisely stayed back in the Mideast instead of returning to Phoenix—to face the slumping Baltimore Ravens (1-4 SU, 0-4-1 ATS; at 49ers on Sunday) and QB Joe Flacco (36-30-3 on Road). Arizona had scored the most points in NFL (190) heading into Week 6 play, although the Cardinals had played some pretty marginal teams (Saints, Bears, 49ers, Rams, Lions). The last time these two played, the Cardinals lost 30-27 at Baltimore but covered as 10½-point favorites in 2011 while the last time these two met here in the Valley of the Sun—way back in 2003 at Sun Devil Stadium, the home of Arizona State University—the Ravens won 26-18. Although Baltimore is 4-1 SU all-time in this infrequent series (108 PF-91 PA) between one team (the Cardinals) who used to be somebody else (St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cardinals) and another named after an Edgar Allen Poe poem (“The Raven”), the Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in those lone 5 meetings against the Ravens and Head Coach Bruce Arians (25-12-1 ATS) and his consistent and now balanced squad have been one of the most profitable teams for NFL bettors over the past 2-3 seasons. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook made Arizona 4-point chalks in its renowned NFL Games of the Year, out in the late Spring.

NFL WEEK 7 OPEN DATES: Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers

NFL WEEK 7 ADVANCED LINE PICKS: Seattle Seahawks -6 over San Francisco 49ers; Houston Texans +1½ over Miami Dolphins; New England Patriots -9½ over Nerew York Jets (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)


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