We sort through the veritable buffet of NFL odds on offer in week 6 in search of sleeper bets to spot. Find out which we’re going with on our NFL picks.
Washington Redskins (+7) to cover
Washington is coming off commendable account in a losing effort against the Falcons. The Redskins held the high-flying Falcons to just 19 points in regular time, before Kirk Cousins threw a pick-6 that gave the Falcons the 25-19 win in overtime. Indeed, the Redskins covered as the 7-point road pups in that game. Overall, the Redskins take a 3-2 ATS mark with a competitive 1.4-losing margin, down to a pretty solid defense by all accounts.
Based on the account in Atlanta the Redskins strike an attractive pose on the NFL odds board as the 7-point road pups for the second straight week. This time at the expense of the NY Jets, who are coming off a bye week which followed a trip to London. It’s reasonable to assume the Jets might be slightly slow off the mark after a two week break with jetlag thrown into the mix, even if they are a solid 3-1 SU and ATS with a 10-point winning margin. At home, the Jets are 1-1 ATS with a 7-point winning margin, largely down to a 31-10 win over the Browns in week 1. In week 3, they lost 24-17 to the Eagles.as the 2.5-point home chalk.
Books vary with the spread on this game, trading anywhere from 5.5-to-7-points. If you can find a high number such as the 7-points at 5Dimes (even with the high juice), we recommend taking the Redskins plus the points.
NFL Picks: Redskins +7 (-135) at 5Dimes
Bears +3 to cover
How the Lions are possibly favored in week 6? It beggars belief. They are winless through five games, sporting only a 1-4 ATS mark with an 11-point losing margin. Yet they are favored by a field goal at most sportsbooks.
From what we’ve seen of the Lions on both sides of the ball isn’t encouraging. Benching Matthew Stafford midway through week 5 isn’t going to fix things, surely. The Chicago Bears may not be amongst the contenders in the NFL. Heck, they might not even be a pretender and could finish the season with a losing record when all is said and done. They are definitely in rebuild mode under John Fox. What they do have going for them is a two-game winning streak at the expense of the Raiders and Chiefs; the latter of which was an away game as they rallied from behind to take the improbable 18-17 win as the 10.5-point road pup. The Bears have momentum and they can heap more misery on the Lions. Take the Bears plus the points.
NFL Picks: Bears +3 (-110) Westgate
Texans +1 to cover
The verdict on the Texans isn’t positive behind a 1-4 SU and ATS mark that includes a 7.6-point losing margin. Most NFL bettors would say the Texans are just awful, but we’d have it down to coaching mismanagement. Hoyer was named starter only to have it taken from him in the blink of an eye. Mallet went on to start in the subsequent four games for a 1-4 SU record.
Obviously, O’Brien should never have hooked Hoyer so quickly in week 1. Instead he should have given the guy a chance to establish momentum before going with Mallet. He’s done a disservice to both quarterback, let alone the team. By injecting Mallet so quickly, he sent mixed messages to the rest of the guys. How are they supposed to trust their quarterback on the field when the coach keeps wavering between the pair? To add insult to injury, despite Hoyer’s rather solid play in Atlanta, when he picked up the pieces of the game from Ryan Mallet at 42-0 to lead the Texans to a 48-21 losing effort, O’Brien started Ryan Mallet in week 5.
Call it justice, the universe setting things right or just a thoughtless decision by Mallet to come off the field, but Hoyer stole the starting job back just as quickly as he lost it. In a rather strange twist, about halfway through the game, Mallet was knocked out and took himself out of the game to catch breath. That split decision was all it took for Hoyer to step in and three plays later he wasn’t coming off, leaving Mallet stood there on the side lines gobsmacked. Not quite sure about what just happened, even sulking off into the locker room before time was called.
This is Hoyer’s second chance to keep the starting role. He won’t get too many. Assuming O’Brien doesn’t go bipolar any time soon and allows Hoyer to find his feet the Texans should cover this game, if not win outright.
NFL Picks: Texans +1 (-110) at Bet365