When the NFL lines have nothing left to offer, it’s time to start looking into prop picks, and I have three team picks from Bet365 that are looking very valuable this week.
There is no doubt in my mind that this is the matchup of the week, as the Saints head into New England as slight underdogs in the NFL Odds. While the spread may be too close to call, I think there is value with one of these teams getting to ten points first. The Saints have won that race in their last four games in a row this season, and I think they are going to do it again this week.
Race to 10 points – Saints vs. Patriots
The Patriots will likely be without Rob Gronkowski once again, and with the powerful and fast starting Saints offense coming into town, that spells bad news once again for New England’s offense. The Pats have gotten out to very slow starts over their last three games, as they have failed to score in the first quarter of their last three games overall. The Saints have been putting up points consistently early in games, and I think they will beat the Pats to the ten-point mark.
My Pick: Saints (-105)
3 Unanswered Scores
After opening up as road favorites in this game last Sunday, the Jets upset the Falcons on the road in Monday night, which led the NFL Odds to move all the way to now favoring the Jets at -3 in some instances. With crazy and unpredictable movement in the NFL Odds, I like using prop picks to find value, and I think I have.
This should be a lower scoring game on most accounts. The total is very low, and these two offenses leave a lot to be desired. Antonio Cromartie likely being out for the Jets hurts New York a lot, but the Steelers on the road against the rest of the Jets’ defense is going to be ugly as well. I expect Ben Roethlisberger to have very little time to throw the ball down the field, and running on the Jets could be even harder. On the flip side, the Jets could regress from their showing last week, and I doubt either side scores three unanswered.
My Pick: ‘No’ 3 unanswered scores (+115)
This one could be without three unanswered scores for a completely different reason than the prop above. This game could end up being a shoot out, or it could be lower scoring as well, either way, I doubt one team is going to dominate enough to score the ball on three unanswered drives. The Packers scare me a bit, but the Ravens defense is good enough at home to slow down Aaron Rodgers and get the ball back in this game.
At home the Ravens’ defense has looked very good this season. In just two games there so far, Baltimore has given up a total of 15 points. I think the Packers will have that much by halftime, but either way, I doubt they or the Ravens score three unanswered times on one another. These two teams are pretty evening matched in this spot.
My Pick: ‘No’ 3 unanswered scores (+130)