NFL Week 6 Player prop picks
I have three more NFL picks for you this week, and since the NFL Odds are settling down, let’s see if we can cash some value on the player side this week. All of these odds come from Bet365 sportsbook.
Denarius Moore (67.5 receiving yards)
The Raiders head into Kansas City this week to play the Chiefs, and with the NFL Odds so highly in favor of the Chiefs, we should shop for value elsewhere for our sports picks ... and I think I have found some. While the Raiders will likely be playing from behind in this game, I don’t think it will be as much as some are projecting. Either way, with two all pros in the secondary for Kansas City, I don’t like Denarius Moore’s chances of getting too many yards this week.
Brandon Flowers and Eric Berry will be all over Moore in this game, and despite having some nice production over the last three weeks for the Raiders, it stops here for Moore. The Chiefs will try and keep Terrelle Pryor in the pocket for this game, but they will not allow him to get the ball to the only real receiving weapon he has, Moore. At -115, there is value with the under.
My Pick: ‘Under’ 67.5 (-115)
The Jaguars head into Denver this weekend, and with the highest spread in NFL history, I think this is a perfect example of a good time to find value elsewhere. The Jags’ Justin Blackmon made his return with a bang last week, scoring a touchdown and going for over 130 yards. This week while likely playing with a two score or more deficits all game, Blackmon’s odds of getting back into the end zone are good here.
Even with Chad Henne throwing him the ball, the Broncos will likely be in prevent defense by the end of the 2nd quarter. There is a great chance the Jags will be playing against 2nd stringers at some point during this game. With the skills and speed of Blackmon, I think he will find the end zone for the second straight week. The Broncos do not have a very good secondary, and the NFL Odds for Blackmon to score this week are amazing.
My Pick: Justin Blackmon (+250)
This next guy has a lot less value in the price to score a TD, but seemingly a much better chance than Blackmon. Vernon Davis and the 49ers welcome in the Cardinals this week, and after scoring two weeks in a row for the Niners, I think Davis is going to get another one this week. The Cardinals have given up four touchdowns this season to opposing tight ends, and their stats against them elsewhere are just as bad.
Don't forget to check out my Team Props Predictions~
Only Dallas and Chicago have given up more targets and receptions to the tight end this season than the Cardinals, and with Patrick Peterson lining up against Aquan Boldin all game, the chances to Davis being open down the field are greater this week. Davis is one of the most underrated tight ends in the game, and even though he disappears sometimes in certain games, the Cards just don’t have anyone to match up to Davis, and the Niners don’t have much else to throw to right now.
My Pick: Vernon Davis (+100)