NFL Week 6 Picks
Follow along as I have two early week value plays that I think you can move on now.
After starting 0-5 both SU and ATS, the chances of salvaging the season in New York is almost done. Unless all the Giants fans are now converting to being Jets fans, there is no shot of the playoffs now. The only thing the Giants can do is hope for the best, but this week against a pissed of Bears team at home, I doubt it will be on tomorrow night.
The Bears have lost two in a row after winning their first three games, and come into this one as a -7 ½ favorite against the Giants. Some of the sportsbooks have the Giants as high as +9 ½ underdogs, but with the line not settled, I think there is value with the Bears as touchdown favorites.
David Wilson tweeted that he would be fine for the game tomorrow, but the doctors said otherwise, as he will miss the matchup. That will take the Giants’ running game from lame, to no existent this week. The Bears have a solid run defense, and even though they are giving up yards through the air, it won’t matter against a sorry Giants’ offensive line. Eli Manning is going to be running for his life from Lance Briggs and Julius Peppers in this game, and with how bad the Giants’ defense is, I expect nothing less than 25 points from the Bears in this one. Buy the half point and move them to an even -7.
My Pick: Bears -7 (buy the half point -115) @ Bookmaker
The Niners got back on track in a big way against the Texans this past week, and now they welcome in their divisional rival, the Cardinals. The NFL Odds have the Niners as -11 ½ favorites in this game, with a very low total of 41 points. That would mean that likely, the Cards would have to be in the teens in scoring this week on the road.
While that is likely, I doubt the Niners will be able to score much either. The Cards’ defense and special teams are fantastic, and if they are able to hold down the San Francisco passing game, their great run defense should do the rest. As long as Carson Palmer doesn’t turn the ball over, and Patrick Peterson and company can slow the Niners through the air, this should be an easy cover for the Cardinals on the road. +11 ½ is a ton of points in a divisional game, and the Cards are much better than the Rams were two weeks ago against the Niners.
After opening up at +12 ½ in the NFL Odds, the Cards are not starting to hit +10 ½. It seems as if the sharp money is coming in on Arizona in this one, and I see it having value. They should not be this big of a double-digit underdog this week, and while I see no way they win this game, they could easily lose by only 10 points and cover this spread. Their defense is good enough, and the Niners have enough problems on both sides of the ball to warrant taking points in this one for my NFL picks. The Cardinals have covered in two of their last three games against San Francisco.
My Pick: Cardinals +11 ½ @ Bovada