NFL Picks: Sunday Week 6 Best bets
We are only a few days away from Sunday’s kickoffs, and I think there is late week value to be had on a couple of lines.
The Cardinals head over to San Francisco this week to play the Niners, and after the NFL Odds opened in favor of the Niners at -12 ½, the lines have quickly dropped. Now it seems as if -10 ½ is the settled number, but there are still books with the spread at 11 points or higher.
The Cards’ defense and special teams are fantastic, and if they are able to hold down the San Francisco passing game, their great run defense should do the rest. As long as Carson Palmer doesn’t turn the ball over, and Patrick Peterson and company can slow the Niners through the air, this should be an easy cover for the Cardinals on the road. +11 ½ is a ton of points in a divisional game.
Arizona is 4-1 ATS so far this season, and while their offense leaves something to be desired, they have been undervalued ATS all season, and I think it’s happening again.The Cards have covered in two of their last three meetings with the 49ers. I think Arizona’s road SU record is making them undervalued ATS in this one.
It seems as if the sharp money is coming in on Arizona in this one, and I see it having value. They should not be this big of a double-digit underdog this week, and while I see no way they win this game, they could easily lose by only 10 points and cover this spread. Their defense is good enough, and the Niners have enough problems on both sides of the ball to warrant taking points in this one. The Cardinals have covered in two of their last three games against San Francisco.
My Pick: Cardinals +11 ½
The Sunday night game should be a barnburner, as the Skins head into Dallas to play the Cowboys. The NFL Odds for this one favor Dallas at -6 for our NFL picks, with a total of 52. While the spread seems inviting, I think a play on the total has a ton of value.
It seems like every time these two get together, the score is higher. In fact, the total has gone over in four of the Skins’ last six trips to Dallas. On top of that, the Redskins have covered the over in four of their last five road games, while the Cowboys have cashed the over in six of their last seven home games, including the shootout that happened there last week.
The over has also cashed in two of the last three and three of the last five times these two have played one another overall. I could easily see Robert Griffin III having a bounce back game this week in primetime. The Skins had their bye last week, and that should have given them enough time to shake the rest of the cobwebs off. If the offense for Washington can come out and get on the board in the first half, (something that has eluded them so far this season) I see this game going over. Neither one of these defenses are very good, and I see a lot of passing in Dallas on Sunday night.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 52 at bet 365