NFL Picks: Week 6 Fades & Games to Avoid

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 8, 2013 2:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2013 2:12 PM UTC

If the idea of having stomach pains but no antacid seems like something fun to do, here are three NFL Week 6 matchups which should be totally satisfying.

Follow our continuing NFL odds coverage with our Daily NFL Week 6 Betting Odds Report!

Nothing Trustworthy About Carolina or Minnesota

The Vikings front office feels uncertain about Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel as their quarterbacks; they took a flyer on recently released Josh Freeman. Minnesota is fifth in the NFL in scoring at 28.7 points a game, yet does not have a quarterback it trusts. The Vikings defense makes NFL football handicappers nervous in surrendering 30.7 PPG.

With a week off and after a 38-0 shellacking of the Giants, Carolina ended up being a field goal favorite at Arizona, but thanks to four turnovers, the Panthers were snake-bit. Cam Newton was at fault for each mistake and has wild card tendencies. When it comes to making NFL picks, it’s best to look for more stable teams.

Steelers Favored on the Road... Really!

Nobody expected Pittsburgh to be 0-4 at this juncture of the season, but it is impossible to ignore a -11 turnover margin and the fact this aging defense has yet to force the opposition into a turnover. Sportsbooks have made the Steelers a three-point road favorite over the New York Jets, but it hardly seems a comfortable wager in the feeling-out process of the NFL betting odds. Pittsburgh today is about as reliable as a 1996 Chevy Cavalier.

This brings us to Gang Green. Not many would know the Jets have one of the best defenses the first five weeks of the season, as promised by Coach Rex Ryan.

The preseason misadventure with Mark Sanchez placed rookie Geno Smith in a nearly impossible spot and was he was not as far along as last year’s first year crop of quarterbacks and is playing a for team with real offensive limitations.

I find it hard to make a compelling argument for either AFC squad and will pass.

Looking for some better Week 6 betting? Read our NFL Week 4 Value Picks!

New England a lock to rebound? Hardly

The last time the Patriots were held to single digits was 2006, when they were shutout by Miami 21-0. The stunning part about New England only tallying six points against Cincinnati was the play of the offense line. The lack of continuity with Tom Brady and the rest of the skill position players is understandable, but for the same starting five linemen from last year to be so badly outplayed by the Bengals, inexcusable is the word which comes to mind.

This plays into New England only being a 1.5-point favorite by those setting the sports betting odds.

The Patriots defense has been far and away the best part of Bill Belichick’s team and playing at home, they have the tools to slow the Saints express. New England has excellent depth in the defensive line to keep after Drew Brees and linebacker Jerod Mayo is playing like he has a twin brother on the field at the same time, being everywhere.

In essentially a "Pick’em" game, I rather take “heads” than make a call on this non-conference clash.

What do you think about these games? Sound off on SBRForum's football message boards!

Check out SportsbookReview's report on Sports betting websites with the best prices on 2013 NFL Futures!

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