NFL Picks: Week 5 NFL Team Prop Betting

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, October 5, 2013 3:40 PM GMT

Our team prop picks are back for Week 5 and I have three more picks from the Bet365 sportsbook that I am really feeling good about.

When there is a week like this with seemingly very little value to be had in the NFL Odds, let’s see if we can diversify a little bit with these three team NFL prop picks

3 Unanswered Scores

Panthers vs. Cardinals

This one could end up a blowout, or it could be a one-point game. I don’t think anyone knows at this point. However I think it’s going to be a lower scoring game. The Panthers’ offense doesn’t really travel that well, and even though they have a solid defense, it might not travel well either. Both of these teams have above average defenses, and I think both units will play a big role in this being a close, back and forth, and lower scoring game.

These lower scoring games have been better for cashing this prop bet, and coming off of a win with the Cardinals last week in this very prop bet, I think we can get another cash with them this week. The value of betting that there will not be three unanswered can net a profit of +125, and it seems the value is there to do it. The Panthers are on a long road trip, and with the Cards’ offensive line struggling, this could be a close game.

My Pick: No (+125)

[gameodds]16/226949/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Jaguars vs. Rams

This is another big candidate for the three unanswered scores, and I doubt the Rams have enough to really blow out the Jags like the spread suggests. At +200, the value is there to not have 3 unanswered scores in this one is huge. Even with the struggles from Jacksonville, this team has some stuff going for them, at least in this game.

The Rams’ defense is far from what it was a season ago, and with them not getting pressure and penetration on opposing QBs, that should do nothing but help the Jags’ offense. Another thing that will help Jacksonville in this game will be the return of Justin Blackmon to the field. Blackmon’s ability and talent could take a lot of pressure off of Cecil Shorts and especially Maurice Jones-Drew. With the Rams giving up a ton of yards on defense, especially on the ground, I not only think the Jags could cover here, but I think they will stay in the game long enough to keep the Rams from scoring three unanswered times.

My Pick: ‘No’ (+200)

[gameodds]16/226951/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Number of TDs

Panthers vs. Cardinals

Back to this game because I not only think there is value in the 3 unanswered scores, prop, but the touchdown total for this game should have some value as well. At 4.5 touchdowns, I think the under could hold some value at +120. These two teams will likely not be doing too much scoring in this game, and instead of betting the total, this prop may have just as much value with a way better price

The Panthers’ offense has scored two touchdowns on the road this season, while the Cards’ offense has only scored two touchdowns on their last two games. I’m not sold that going back home will solve the Cards’ offensive issues. Their lack of a running game makes this game easy to plan for in Carolina, and while it should be close, I think four TDs is as many as we’ll see in this game. Take the under for your sports picks.

My Pick: ‘Under’ 4.5 TDs (+120)