NFL Picks: Week 3 Teasers
Follow along as I give my best teaser combinations for our NFL picks during Week 3. All of these are 6-point teasers.
Vikings & Patriots
The Vikings get to face the T Rich-less Browns before anyone else does, and since they are playing at home against now possibly the worst team in the NFL, I think there is enough here to warrant betting them to win. Since we missed out on the opening line of that game which was Vikings -3 ½ in the NFL Odds, I see teasing them to a pick em is the best value we can squeeze out now that the Vikes are almost a touchdown favorite. Minnesota isn’t that good either, but the Browns may not crack double figures here.
The Pats are playing at home as well, and they get a slightly less, but definitely still dysfunctional team in the Bucs. Even though New England has been struggling, teasing them down to -1 seems like a solid value play for this game to go along with Minnesota. The Bucs are atrocious on offense outside of Doug Martin and Vincent Jackson, and I see the Pats’ defense taking advantage of the bad QB play from Josh Freeman.
My Pick: Vikings PK & Patriots -1 @ Bookmaker
Packers & Dolphins
Green Bay has a tough one this week in Cincinnati, but teasing them to over a field goal underdog seems to put the value squarely on their side. I think they could easily win this game outright, but I can almost guarantee they won’t lose this game by more than a field goal. +3 ½ is solid first team value with Green Bay. The Bengals may lack the offensive firepower to play catch up if the Packers jump out to an early lead.
The Dolphins get the pleasure of playing the beat up Falcons this week, and they are only a -1 favorite at home in the NFL Odds. Teasing Miami to +5 is excellent value considering all of the injuries that are facing the Falcons. Plus Atlanta is only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games. Without Steven Jackson, Sean Witherspoon, and with Roddy White banged up, the Dolphins should win this game, but +5 makes it even juicier.
My Pick: Packers +3 ½ & Dolphins +5 @ Matchbook
Bears & Lions
The Bears are facing the battered Steelers on the road in this one, and as they are coming in as road favorites, teasing them to +3 ½ like the Packers seems like a great value. The Steelers’ offense won’t be able to keep up in this game, partially because they stink, and partially because of the Bears’ stellar defense. Teasing Chicago to +3 ½ is exceptional value against a Steelers team that might have been worse than the Browns before Cleveland traded Trent Richardson.
Finally, the Lions are slight underdogs on the road this week in Washington. Even if Reggie Bush does not play, I still think teasing the Lions to +8 against a struggling team like Washington is a great value. Joique Bell will fill in nicely for Bush if he can’t go, and even though both defenses stink, I think the Lions could win this game, let alone cover +8 as the second team in our teaser.
My Pick: Bears +3 ½ & Lions +8 @ The Greek