Swinger's Record (3-2, -2.7 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
I used to get mad about bad beats. They would tear me up and put me firmly on tilt. I just knew a bad beat was the start of a cooler. But not anymore, because I look at it this way. There are dozens of games on the board each weekend during the professional and college football seasons. If the game(s) you isolate get so close that you're biting your nails to the quick then who's really to blame? If you absolutely love a game, it should be an easy cover. Anything less means that you've analyzed it wrong, even if you ultimately cash with a backdoor cover.
That's why I'm not bemoaning the fact that I lost my 4 unit Carolina wager late to the Bills and caught a bad number with 43 ½ in the Dolphins/Colts game when it landed on 44. After cashing an easy cover with Over 54 ½ in the Chargers/Eagles clash I ended the week 1-2 and -4.7 units in my NFL picks. It ain't easy boys, but we're ready to do battle again against the NFL odds for Week 3.
I like to capture my initial reactions to teams when I see the matchup for the first time. The Lions have me yammering about how they lost last week to a pedestrian club like the Cardinals while the Redskins leave me wondering if their back-to-back second half performances weren't more a product of team's protecting big leads as opposed to this offense clicking on all cylinders.
Well, here's the deal. I can't think of a world where the inexperienced Washington secondary will be able to contain a megastar like Megatron. But my optimism is tempered by a somewhat suspect defensive run unit for the Lions which has allowed over 80 yards per game. But I am going to throw caution to the wind and believe Detroit is simply too much for an underachieving Redskins group.
Play Detroit +1 ½ at WilliamHill.com for 3 units for our NFL picks.
Trent Richardson being dealt away from the Browns and into the hands of the Colts does not make me like the Browns any less. They are a team whose passing game is so ineffective that defenses can focus on shutting down their rushing attack. So it doesn't matter if Jim Brown himself is back in Cleveland carrying the rock for the Brownies because this team is going nowhere...again. Now factor in third-string QB Brian Hoyer getting tapped over Jason Campbell to take the reins of this train wreck and you've got the potential for a disastrous week.
Minnesota may not possess the most prolific passing attack but they have AP and did score 30 points against the Bears in Chicago. This is a great spot for the Vikings who can show their fan base what a bully they can be when playing one of the truly weak sisters of the league.
Play Minnesota -6 (-120) buying a ½ point for 4 units at Bet365.com in our NFL picks.
Raiders vs. Broncos
Everyone is in love with the Mile High Express and why not? They have crushed the competition two weeks in a row and defeated the Silver & Black last season by a score of 37-6. But this is a new Raiders team that can now run the ball and possesses an option quarterback in Terrelle Pryor who has been effective but is still a work-in-progress.
A Monday night matchup in Denver will have all eyes on these two clubs but the oddsmakers are giving this new-look Raiders team too much of a head start. I am going to tread lightly in this one but tread I shall.
The Woodman's Corner (1-1, -0.1 units) - Guest Handicapper
The Woodman is prone to doggies as evidenced by his backing the Bolts last week and again this week with a huge pup in Jacksonville +19 ½ on the NFL odds.