NFL Picks: Week 2 NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 6:25 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 11, 2013 6:25 PM UTC

Week 2 is fast approaching, and after the Thursday night game, only two days will stand before Week 2 of the NFL. I have uncovered some early week value in the Week 2 NFL odds, so follow along as I unveil three more of my NFL picks for Week 2.

Panthers vs. Bills 

Carolina has improved their defense a lot this offseason, and while going on the road has never been their strong suit, they get a chance to play a growing offense in Buffalo, and that should play to their advantage. EJ Manuel did not take a sack against the Patriots, but now he is against Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy, who are both fast enough and big enough to make Manuel’s life miserable in this game. As long as the Panthers can stop the Bills’ running game (something the Patriots did somewhat easily) I like their chances in this one. Their line backing core is pretty good too.

On top of that, I think -3 is slightly undervaluing the Panthers. Carolina has a chance to be very good this year because of their defense, and even though the Bills may have better skill players at RB, I’ll take Cam Newton and the Panthers’ defense on the road in Buffalo. Dating back to last season, the Panthers have won four of their last five road games SU.

My Pick: Panthers -3

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Chargers vs. Eagles 

Even though this is a west coast team traveling to Eastern Time, I could see the Chargers having some value here, especially at the NFL odds price from Matchbook and Pinnacle. The Chargers are +9 ½ underdogs in Philadelphia this week, and if they can play like they did in the first 40 minutes of the game against the Texans, they could cover here. I think the sportsbooks are overvaluing the short week and travel. This is early in the season. Teams traveling across country were 2-0 ATS last week when the Raiders covered in Indianapolis and Seattle won and covered in Carolina.

The Chargers showed us on Monday they are not a bad team, and this game could be high scoring and entertaining on Sunday afternoon. There is always the possibility of a back door cover in situations for the Chargers, and I think both the public and sportsbooks are overvaluing the Eagles here after their big Monday night win. Even though it dates back over a decade, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Eagles, and they have covered in two of their last three trips to Philly.

My Pick: Chargers +9 ½

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Saints vs. Bucs

I don’t care if these NFL odds are a trap, the Saints at -3 against the Bucs is too tempting. All the Saints have to do is hold Tampa to under 20 points in this game, because the New Orleans offense should have no problems scoring. New Orleans has averaged over 34 points per game against the Bucs in their last three meetings.

The Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten meetings with the Bucs, and New Orleans has won their last three in a row against the Bucs ATS. I doubt the Saints run the ball very much, mostly because they can’t and also because of the Bucs defense. It will mean a lot of pass attempts for Drew Brees, which will likely mean a Saints win and cover.

My Pick: Saints -3

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