NFL Picks: Week 2 Fades & Games to Avoid

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, September 10, 2013 3:44 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 10, 2013 3:44 PM UTC

Much like looking at the sun during an eclipse, it is best to avoid the following games in Week 2 of the NFL season.

The NFL Regular Season is here! Check out our Week 2 Opening Odds Report!

Jacksonville Stinks, Oakland a favorite?

In a theme which might repeat itself again this season, the Jaguars special teams outscored the offense 2-0 in being whipped by Kansas City 28-2. Coming off 2-14 season in which first-year coach Mike Mularkey was only given one year, expectations were not high for Jacksonville and they lived up to all of them on opening day. Coach Gus Bradley had thought the offensive line might be the best part of this team, but Kansas City went thru the Jags O-Line, rock crushes scissors.

Oakland actually was ahead of Indianapolis in the fourth quarter and was driving for the winning score late in the game and handily covered against the Colts as 11-point underdogs. Quarterback Terrelle Pryor gave a better than expected performance, providing the Raiders Nation hope. Nonetheless, does anyone really want to back a team which is 9-23 ATS as a home favorite and 10-27 ATS when doling out single digits? Be afraid and find better sports picks.

St. Louis vs. Atlanta is a Scary Matchup

Atlanta had their chances to knock off division rival New Orleans on the road but failed to do so. What was most shocking is the Falcons all but eschewed the run, with just 14 attempts, which actually went for 6.2 yards a carry. Evidently, Coach Mike Smith is going to put the ball in the hands of Matt Ryan and tell him to go win games.

The Falcons are the better overall team and probably deserve to be a touchdown favorite, yet they failed to cover all three games a year ago when passing out a touchdown or more.

St. Louis came from behind to knock off Arizona, but was very fortunate. Jeff Fisher has always thrived in the underdog role and the Rams were 7-1 ATS as road dogs a year ago. Still, you have to take into strong consideration, Falcons coach Mike Smith is 18-5-2 ATS off a spread setback.

Sleepless in Seattle for Football Bettors

The Sunday night game arrives with much anticipation, as these are thought to be the two best teams in the NFC. Coaches Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll have a history dating back to their Stanford and USC days and Harbaugh is a caustic commodity.

Since opening at -3 in the NFL odds, Seattle has ping-ponged between the original number and -2.5. As opposed to last year, when they met once on a short week and the Seahawks caught the 49ers off a big road win at New England the following week, both are fresh and have just one game under their belts.

The spread is basically inconsequential at such a low number. It might be wise to pass on this huge confrontation and place your NFL picks elsewhere.

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