NFL Picks: Week 17 Upsets

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 27, 2013 7:49 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 27, 2013 7:49 PM UTC

The final week of the regular NFL season is upon us, and we have a whole slew of game previews and NFL picks for your consideration.

Houston Texans +7.0 @ Tennessee Titans -7.0

Analysis: Sportsbooks list the Titans (6-9, 2-5 home) as the -7-point favourites over the Texans (2-13, 1-6 away) for their last NFL bout on the season. But doesn’t that seem like just too many points on two teams that can make a strong case for being one of the NFL’s worst this term? Probably, that have given up all things being considered and might not be bothered at all on the last day of the season?

Since backup QB Fitzpatrick took over for an injured Jake Locker, the Titans have been a mediocre side, stuttering from defeat to defeat from week to week, save for a few wins sprinkled in between, including last week’s 20-16 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars that went some way towards reverting their embarrassing defeat to the Jaguars in week 10.

Meanwhile, the Texans’ season took an inexplicable nosedive in week 2, from thereon continuing to steadily decline on the back of a 13-game losing streak. Granted the last time the pair met was in week 2 of the NFL betting season and the Texans pulled out the 30-24 overtime victory. But that was the last win on the season for the inexplicably frustrating Texans.

NFL Betting Verdict: Neither team strikes a convincing pose on NFL odds. The Texans, tipped at +240 to win straight up, seem determined to lose at all costs while the Titans, listed at -300 for the win, are going through an identity crisis from week to week. Expect more of the same from both. Need more be said?

NFL Picks: Titans to win straight up, Texans to cover.


New York Jets +5.5 @ Miami Dolphins -5.5

Analysis: The Miami Dolphins (8-7, 4-3 home) are in the hunt for a playoff spot but if last week’s embarrassing debacle against the Bills were any indication, nothing can be taken for granted.

What made the 19-0 defeat to the Bills so frustrating was that it followed a shocking 24-20 win over the Patriots – although we’d anticipated there might be a letdown and therefore recommended the Bills as our savvy NFL Pick in last week’s installment. What’s more, it remains to be seen what ripple effect that defeat might have.

Certainly, things don’t look as promising as sportsbooks would have you believe with their favourable NFL odds, nor will the Jets (7-8, 1-6 away) be pushovers at +200 to win straight up at Bet365. Let’s face it, the Jets have been rather good this season, better than their record suggests.

Moreover, they are after a big win over Cleveland last week and they just might be keen to finish the season on a positive 8-8 note at the expense of a Dolphins’ side, that was frankly as hot as fish out of water against the Bills last week.

NFL Betting Verdict: It’s clear the odds makers tip the scale towards the Dolphins and because of playoff implications most sports bettors expect they’ll rise to the occasion, which is a fact that has brought on a significant NFL betting handle already on this game. But what if they don’t? What if they flop just as they did last week? What if last week’s flop was in fact a sign that it was all a bit much for Ryan Tannehill and Co. Let’s not forget the Jets, who are a good team and most likely will not rollover easily.

 It’s hard to determine which motivation trumps all others but one thing is for certain: just because a team has a shot at the playoffs doesn’t mean it’ll get there. And the Jets look the part of spoilers.

NFL Picks: Jets to win straight up and cover


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