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Redskins & Browns
Washington is playing host to the Cowboys this week, and the NFL teaser Odds have Washington as a +8 ½ home underdog. Kirk Cousins will likely shred the Dallas defense, and even though they might lose SU, I doubt they lose by nine or more points. Divisional games are normally closer, and even though I don’t have the guts to take the Skins outright, their teaser NFL Odds are quite nice this week. The Cowboys need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, but they are only 1-5 ATS in their last six games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in Washington. Take the Skins’ teaser odds are the first leg.
Add them to the Browns, who are also +2 ½ underdogs this week in New York against the Jets. Cleveland’s defense should have no problems holding down the Jets’ poor offense this week, and I doubt the Jets will be able to stop the Cleveland passing game (also known as Josh Gordon). Teasing them up to +8 ½ in a game that might not get out of the teens is tremendous value for Week 16. Teams are tired, scores are closer, and Cleveland is undervalued.
My Pick: 2-team teaser: Redskins +8 ½ & Browns +8 ½
Read our: NFL Picks: Week 16 NFL Value Picks
Chiefs & Patriots
Kansas City is on a roll right now, and they are peaking at the right time on both sides of the ball. They host the Colts this week, and I am teasing down KC to a -1 favorite from -7. The Colts’ offense will likely be able to score some, but I doubt they have enough on defense to stay with Kansas City. The Colts have been up and down this season, but more down on the road. Going into Arrowhead is a tough place to play, and playing the Chiefs on a -1 line is solid enough for me to add to my next team.
The Patriots are +2 ½ NFL Odds underdogs this week in Baltimore, and teasing them to +8 ½ seems like solid value. The Ravens are on a short week, and they failed to score an offensive touchdown against a very beatable secondary in Detroit. The Pats’ defense is much better than Detroit’s, and even if the home cooking helps the Ravens offense some, it likely won’t fix the run game. I see the Pats as over a touchdown underdog more than enough value to add to the Chiefs.
My Pick: 2-team teaser: Chiefs -1 & Patriots +8 ½
Also check out: NFL Picks: Week 16 Exotic NFL Betting Options
Cardinals & Chargers
The Cards head into Seattle this week and the Hawks are -10 ½ favorites in the NFL Odds, so teasing the Cards to +16 ½ looks like a no-brainer to me. These NFC West games are almost always close, and with how well the Cards are playing on both sides of the ball, I’d be surprised to see this game with a double-digit scoring deficit. Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald look like they both might play, and if that’s the case, look for them to cash their teaser odds.
The Chargers welcome in the Raiders this week, a team that has given up 41 points per game over their last three. The NFL Odds have the Chargers as -9 ½ favorites, so teasing them down to -3 ½ looks like nice value. Obviously you can go one more point to make it +17 ½ & -2 ½, but I think the value is there regardless of covering the three point odds. San Diego can and probably will win this game by double figures, as their playoff lives depend on it.My Pick: 2-team teaser: Cardinals +16 ½ & Chargers -3 ½